Scouting Report
Blake Lizotte holds a +8.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Schmaltz on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Lizotte wins 57.7% vs right-shot opponents — Schmaltz shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lizotte 50.7% vs Schmaltz 44.0% (+8.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Schmaltz 78.6%
Defensive zone
Schmaltz 54.8%
Neutral zone
Schmaltz 63.1%
Result
Nick Schmaltz favored at 67.4%
32.6%
67.4%
Lizotte
Schmaltz
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
5
(7 meetings)
2
5
Lizotte
Schmaltz
Last 7: Lizotte 2-5 Schmaltz
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Schmaltz
0
3
Lizotte
Schmaltz
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Lizotte
2
0
Lizotte
Schmaltz
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Schmaltz
0
2
Lizotte
Schmaltz
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lizotte
Schmaltz
Edge
Even Strength
53.2% (316)
42.5% (485)
+10.7%
Power Play
38.5% (13)
45.1% (51)
-6.6%
Penalty Kill
28.0% (25)
100.0% (1)
-72.0%
On penalty kill, Schmaltz has a +72.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Schmaltz shoots right. Lizotte is 57.7% vs right-shot opponents (104).
Lizotte shoots left. Schmaltz is 42.5% vs left-shot opponents (419).
Home / Away
Lizotte
Schmaltz
Home
46.9% (177)
45.0% (258)
Away
54.8% (177)
40.9% (279)
By Period
Lizotte
Schmaltz
P1
42.3%
47.0%
P2
51.8%
42.7%
P3
60.9%
38.4%
Final 5 min
57.6%
47.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lizotte
46.0%▬
47.0%
50.8%
Schmaltz
46.0%▬
45.0%
42.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 24, 2021 | 2 | 02:02 | Offensive | Nick Schmaltz |
| Apr 7, 2021 | 3 | 01:18 | Neutral | Nick Schmaltz |
| Apr 7, 2021 | 2 | 18:43 | Offensive | Nick Schmaltz |
| Apr 5, 2021 | 1 | 14:23 | Offensive | Nick Schmaltz |
| Feb 20, 2021 | 3 | 00:38 | Neutral | Nick Schmaltz |
| Feb 20, 2021 | 2 | 07:20 | Defensive | Blake Lizotte |
| Feb 18, 2021 | 2 | 16:56 | Defensive | Blake Lizotte |