Scouting Report
Leon Draisaitl holds a +9.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Draisaitl on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). Draisaitl wins 56.1% vs right-shot opponents — Schmaltz shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Draisaitl 51.9% vs Schmaltz 44.1% (+9.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Draisaitl 88.2%
Defensive zone
Draisaitl 91.5%
Neutral zone
Draisaitl 87.9%
Result
Leon Draisaitl favored at 89.3%
89.3%
10.7%
Draisaitl
Schmaltz
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
1
(6 meetings)
5
1
Draisaitl
Schmaltz
Last 6: Draisaitl 5-1 Schmaltz
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Draisaitl
4
0
Draisaitl
Schmaltz
4 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Draisaitl
Schmaltz
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Draisaitl
Schmaltz
Edge
Even Strength
51.5% (886)
41.7% (338)
+9.8%
Power Play
56.3% (272)
47.1% (34)
+9.2%
Penalty Kill
46.8% (111)
75.0% (4)
-28.2%
On penalty kill, Schmaltz has a +28.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Schmaltz shoots right. Draisaitl is 56.1% vs right-shot opponents (490).
Draisaitl shoots left. Schmaltz is 43.8% vs left-shot opponents (274).
Home / Away
Draisaitl
Schmaltz
Home
54.4% (634)
48.2% (166)
Away
49.8% (635)
38.1% (210)
By Period
Draisaitl
Schmaltz
P1
53.8%
42.1%
P2
55.3%
45.8%
P3
48.2%
41.4%
OT
36.8%
22.2%
Final 5 min
50.4%
43.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Draisaitl
62.0%▬
61.0%
52.1%
Schmaltz
46.0%▬
45.0%
42.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 18, 2020 | 3 | 03:25 | Offensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Jan 18, 2020 | 2 | 18:17 | Offensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Nov 24, 2019 | 3 | 05:34 | Defensive | Nick Schmaltz |
| Nov 4, 2019 | 3 | 06:08 | Defensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Nov 4, 2019 | 2 | 08:22 | Offensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Nov 4, 2019 | 2 | 01:07 | Offensive | Leon Draisaitl |