Scouting Report
Leon Draisaitl holds a +5.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Draisaitl on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). Draisaitl wins 57.7% vs right-shot opponents — Schmaltz shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Draisaitl 53.2% vs Schmaltz 48.4% (+5.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Draisaitl 73.4%
Defensive zone
Draisaitl 94.3%
Neutral zone
Draisaitl 89.6%
Result
Leon Draisaitl favored at 90.0%
90.0%
10.0%
Draisaitl
Schmaltz
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
1
(6 meetings)
5
1
Draisaitl
Schmaltz
Last 6: Draisaitl 5-1 Schmaltz
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Draisaitl
1
0
Draisaitl
Schmaltz
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Draisaitl
4
0
Draisaitl
Schmaltz
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Schmaltz
0
1
Draisaitl
Schmaltz
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Draisaitl
Schmaltz
Edge
Even Strength
52.6% (1,124)
42.9% (133)
+9.7%
Power Play
58.4% (344)
55.1% (89)
+3.3%
Penalty Kill
49.2% (193)
47.1% (17)
+2.1%
On even strength, Draisaitl has a +9.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Schmaltz shoots right. Draisaitl is 57.7% vs right-shot opponents (619).
Draisaitl shoots left. Schmaltz is 47.8% vs left-shot opponents (178).
Home / Away
Draisaitl
Schmaltz
Home
55.5% (816)
41.6% (125)
Away
51.4% (845)
54.4% (114)
By Period
Draisaitl
Schmaltz
P1
51.1%
40.0%
P2
51.6%
59.5%
P3
56.9%
45.0%
OT
57.1%
40.0%
Final 5 min
53.8%
53.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Draisaitl
62.0%▬
61.0%
53.4%
Schmaltz
46.0%▬
45.0%
47.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 28, 2022 | 3 | 06:47 | Defensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Mar 28, 2022 | 3 | 04:32 | Defensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Mar 28, 2022 | 3 | 01:38 | Defensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Mar 28, 2022 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Nick Schmaltz |
| Oct 21, 2021 | 3 | 04:53 | Defensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Oct 21, 2021 | 1 | 14:31 | Offensive | Leon Draisaitl |