Scouting Report
Mark Scheifele holds a +11.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Schmaltz on neutral-zone draws (83% H2H, 6 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Scheifele 51.2% vs Schmaltz 41.2% (+11.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Schmaltz 77.0%
Defensive zone
Schmaltz 80.9%
Neutral zone
Schmaltz 76.5%
Result
Nick Schmaltz favored at 77.9%
22.1%
77.9%
Scheifele
Schmaltz
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
7
(9 meetings)
2
7
Scheifele
Schmaltz
Last 9: Scheifele 2-7 Schmaltz
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Schmaltz
1
2
Scheifele
Schmaltz
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Schmaltz
1
5
Scheifele
Schmaltz
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Scheifele
Schmaltz
Edge
Even Strength
50.6% (880)
39.5% (658)
+11.1%
Power Play
58.0% (205)
41.3% (92)
+16.7%
Penalty Kill
40.5% (74)
45.1% (51)
-4.6%
On power play, Scheifele has a +16.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Schmaltz shoots right. Scheifele is 49.2% vs right-shot opponents (386).
Scheifele shoots right. Schmaltz is 44.3% vs right-shot opponents (273).
Home / Away
Scheifele
Schmaltz
Home
51.4% (566)
40.8% (424)
Away
51.1% (593)
39.3% (377)
By Period
Scheifele
Schmaltz
P1
52.1%
38.4%
P2
47.9%
40.7%
P3
54.3%
41.0%
OT
43.8%
40.0%
Final 5 min
49.6%
42.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Scheifele
50.0%▬
51.0%
51.3%
Schmaltz
46.0%▬
45.0%
40.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 7, 2018 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Mark Scheifele |
| Apr 7, 2018 | 2 | 09:28 | Defensive | Nick Schmaltz |
| Apr 7, 2018 | 2 | 09:08 | Neutral | Nick Schmaltz |
| Apr 7, 2018 | 1 | 11:43 | Defensive | Nick Schmaltz |
| Apr 7, 2018 | 1 | 10:33 | Neutral | Nick Schmaltz |
| Mar 29, 2018 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Nick Schmaltz |
| Mar 29, 2018 | 2 | 12:54 | Neutral | Nick Schmaltz |
| Mar 29, 2018 | 1 | 17:17 | Neutral | Nick Schmaltz |
| Mar 29, 2018 | 1 | 14:56 | Defensive | Mark Scheifele |