Scouting Report
Paul Stastny holds a +17.6% FO% edge overall. Schmaltz wins 40.3% vs left-shot opponents — Stastny shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Schmaltz 45.0% vs Stastny 56.3% (-17.6%)
Offensive zone
Stastny 55.6%
Defensive zone
Stastny 71.0%
Neutral zone
Stastny 53.8%
Result
Paul Stastny favored at 60.2%
39.8%
60.2%
Schmaltz
Stastny
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Schmaltz
Stastny
Edge
Even Strength
37.7% (53)
57.5% (412)
-19.8%
Power Play
40.9% (44)
60.0% (65)
-19.1%
Penalty Kill
66.7% (3)
44.4% (9)
+22.3%
On penalty kill, Schmaltz has a +22.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stastny shoots left. Schmaltz is 40.3% vs left-shot opponents (77).
Schmaltz shoots right. Stastny is 59.2% vs right-shot opponents (196).
Home / Away
Schmaltz
Stastny
Home
34.7% (49)
58.3% (276)
Away
45.1% (51)
56.7% (210)
By Period
Schmaltz
Stastny
P1
25.9%
63.7%
P2
46.2%
57.3%
P3
42.1%
50.4%
Final 5 min
34.8%
56.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Schmaltz
46.0%▬
45.0%
40.0%
Stastny
52.0%▼
55.5%
57.6%