Scouting Report
Phillip Danault holds a +10.9% FO% edge overall. Schmaltz wins 41.7% vs left-shot opponents — Danault shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Schmaltz 42.8% vs Danault 51.7% (-10.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Schmaltz 79.5%
Defensive zone
Schmaltz 53.5%
Neutral zone
Schmaltz 64.2%
Result
Nick Schmaltz favored at 62.6%
62.6%
37.4%
Schmaltz
Danault
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
3
(4 meetings)
1
3
Schmaltz
Danault
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Schmaltz
1
0
Schmaltz
Danault
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Danault
0
2
Schmaltz
Danault
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Danault
0
1
Schmaltz
Danault
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Schmaltz
Danault
Edge
Even Strength
38.5% (309)
52.6% (895)
-14.1%
Power Play
53.2% (79)
55.7% (97)
-2.5%
Penalty Kill
25.0% (12)
45.5% (165)
-20.5%
On penalty kill, Danault has a +20.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Danault shoots left. Schmaltz is 41.7% vs left-shot opponents (309).
Schmaltz shoots right. Danault is 53.8% vs right-shot opponents (370).
Home / Away
Schmaltz
Danault
Home
38.0% (184)
54.0% (581)
Away
43.5% (216)
49.7% (576)
By Period
Schmaltz
Danault
P1
40.3%
53.7%
P2
39.9%
55.3%
P3
40.7%
46.5%
OT
70.0%
46.2%
Final 5 min
41.6%
50.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Schmaltz
46.0%▬
45.0%
41.0%
Danault
54.0%▼
57.5%
51.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 20, 2023 | 1 | 08:20 | Neutral | Phillip Danault |
| Nov 20, 2023 | 1 | 05:18 | Defensive | Phillip Danault |
| Oct 24, 2023 | 3 | 18:09 | Offensive | Nick Schmaltz |
| Oct 24, 2023 | 3 | 12:48 | Defensive | Phillip Danault |