Scouting Report
Phillip Danault holds a +9.2% FO% edge overall. Schmaltz wins 41.7% vs left-shot opponents — Danault shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Schmaltz 46.6% vs Danault 54.8% (-9.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Schmaltz 65.0%
Defensive zone
Danault 90.7%
Neutral zone
Danault 68.9%
Result
Phillip Danault favored at 59.7%
40.3%
59.7%
Schmaltz
Danault
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
2
(5 meetings)
3
2
Schmaltz
Danault
Last 5: Schmaltz 3-2 Danault
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Schmaltz
Danault
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Danault
0
1
Schmaltz
Danault
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Schmaltz
2
0
Schmaltz
Danault
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Schmaltz
Danault
Edge
Even Strength
45.9% (665)
56.5% (711)
-10.6%
Power Play
46.8% (111)
46.0% (50)
+0.8%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (24)
51.7% (116)
-1.7%
On even strength, Danault has a +10.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Danault shoots left. Schmaltz is 41.7% vs left-shot opponents (559).
Schmaltz shoots right. Danault is 55.4% vs right-shot opponents (289).
Home / Away
Schmaltz
Danault
Home
44.7% (409)
57.0% (379)
Away
47.6% (391)
54.0% (498)
By Period
Schmaltz
Danault
P1
40.3%
55.8%
P2
47.6%
55.3%
P3
51.0%
54.8%
OT
0.0%
55.6%
Final 5 min
40.2%
55.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Schmaltz
46.0%▬
45.0%
46.1%
Danault
54.0%▼
57.5%
55.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 8, 2025 | 2 | 12:57 | Neutral | Nick Schmaltz |
| Dec 8, 2025 | 2 | 06:09 | Neutral | Nick Schmaltz |
| Dec 8, 2025 | 2 | 01:35 | Defensive | Phillip Danault |
| Dec 8, 2025 | 1 | 11:51 | Offensive | Nick Schmaltz |
| Dec 8, 2025 | 1 | 08:59 | Offensive | Phillip Danault |