Scouting Report
Ridly Greig holds a +2.9% FO% edge overall. Schmaltz wins 41.7% vs left-shot opponents — Greig shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Schmaltz 42.8% vs Greig 45.0% (-2.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Schmaltz 67.9%
Defensive zone
Greig 65.4%
Neutral zone
Greig 53.8%
Result
Nick Schmaltz favored at 51.2%
51.2%
48.8%
Schmaltz
Greig
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
2
(4 meetings)
2
2
Schmaltz
Greig
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Schmaltz
Greig
2 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Schmaltz
Greig
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Schmaltz
Greig
Edge
Even Strength
38.5% (309)
45.2% (414)
-6.7%
Power Play
53.2% (79)
28.6% (14)
+24.6%
Penalty Kill
25.0% (12)
28.6% (21)
-3.6%
On power play, Schmaltz has a +24.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Greig shoots left. Schmaltz is 41.7% vs left-shot opponents (309).
Schmaltz shoots right. Greig is 46.0% vs right-shot opponents (161).
Home / Away
Schmaltz
Greig
Home
38.0% (184)
46.4% (196)
Away
43.5% (216)
41.9% (253)
By Period
Schmaltz
Greig
P1
40.3%
40.8%
P2
39.9%
46.4%
P3
40.7%
43.9%
OT
70.0%
50.0%
Final 5 min
41.6%
49.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Schmaltz
46.0%▬
45.0%
41.0%
Greig
52.0%▲
48.5%
43.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 1, 2024 | 3 | 08:48 | Defensive | Ridly Greig |
| Mar 1, 2024 | 1 | 06:29 | Defensive | Nick Schmaltz |
| Dec 19, 2023 | 2 | 12:37 | Offensive | Nick Schmaltz |
| Dec 19, 2023 | 2 | 10:57 | Offensive | Ridly Greig |