Scouting Report
Ridly Greig holds a +4.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Greig on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 5 meetings). Schmaltz wins 41.7% vs left-shot opponents — Greig shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Schmaltz 46.6% vs Greig 50.6% (-4.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Schmaltz 92.0%
Defensive zone
Greig 59.0%
Neutral zone
Schmaltz 70.3%
Result
Nick Schmaltz favored at 52.4%
52.4%
47.6%
Schmaltz
Greig
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
6
(7 meetings)
1
6
Schmaltz
Greig
Last 7: Schmaltz 1-6 Greig
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Schmaltz
1
0
Schmaltz
Greig
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Greig
0
5
Schmaltz
Greig
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Greig
0
1
Schmaltz
Greig
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Schmaltz
Greig
Edge
Even Strength
45.9% (665)
51.5% (336)
-5.6%
Power Play
46.8% (111)
66.7% (24)
-19.9%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (24)
43.2% (81)
+6.8%
On power play, Greig has a +19.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Greig shoots left. Schmaltz is 41.7% vs left-shot opponents (559).
Schmaltz shoots right. Greig is 57.8% vs right-shot opponents (211).
Home / Away
Schmaltz
Greig
Home
44.7% (409)
50.2% (247)
Away
47.6% (391)
51.5% (194)
By Period
Schmaltz
Greig
P1
40.3%
46.9%
P2
47.6%
58.8%
P3
51.0%
48.3%
OT
0.0%
0.0%
Final 5 min
40.2%
55.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Schmaltz
46.0%▬
45.0%
46.1%
Greig
52.0%▲
48.5%
50.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 7, 2026 | 3 | 04:12 | Neutral | Ridly Greig |
| Jan 7, 2026 | 2 | 19:21 | Defensive | Ridly Greig |
| Jan 7, 2026 | 2 | 19:05 | Defensive | Ridly Greig |
| Jan 7, 2026 | 2 | 16:31 | Defensive | Ridly Greig |
| Jan 7, 2026 | 2 | 07:06 | Offensive | Nick Schmaltz |
| Jan 7, 2026 | 2 | 00:33 | Defensive | Ridly Greig |
| Nov 9, 2025 | 1 | 17:58 | Defensive | Ridly Greig |