Scouting Report
Nick Schmaltz holds a +1.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Hartman on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). Schmaltz wins 44.1% vs right-shot opponents — Hartman shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Schmaltz 44.0% vs Hartman 43.0% (+1.3%)
H2H factor
Hartman leads 11-10 in 21 meetings
Offensive zone
Schmaltz 68.0%
Defensive zone
Hartman 72.7%
Neutral zone
Schmaltz 52.4%
Result
Nick Schmaltz favored at 52.8%
52.8%
47.2%
Schmaltz
Hartman
Head-to-Head Record
10
-
11
(21 meetings)
10
11
Schmaltz
Hartman
Last 10: Schmaltz 6-4 Hartman
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Schmaltz
4
3
Schmaltz
Hartman
7 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Hartman
0
4
Schmaltz
Hartman
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Schmaltz
6
4
Schmaltz
Hartman
10 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Schmaltz
Hartman
Edge
Even Strength
42.5% (485)
40.9% (413)
+1.6%
Power Play
45.1% (51)
53.6% (28)
-8.5%
Penalty Kill
100.0% (1)
38.9% (36)
+61.1%
On penalty kill, Schmaltz has a +61.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hartman shoots right. Schmaltz is 44.1% vs right-shot opponents (118).
Schmaltz shoots right. Hartman is 48.2% vs right-shot opponents (141).
Home / Away
Schmaltz
Hartman
Home
45.0% (258)
46.2% (249)
Away
40.9% (279)
36.4% (228)
By Period
Schmaltz
Hartman
P1
47.0%
45.4%
P2
42.7%
39.1%
P3
38.4%
40.2%
Final 5 min
47.6%
41.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Schmaltz
46.0%▬
45.0%
42.8%
Hartman
54.0%▲
52.0%
41.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 21, 2021 | 3 | 19:48 | Neutral | Nick Schmaltz |
| Apr 21, 2021 | 3 | 15:13 | Offensive | Nick Schmaltz |
| Apr 21, 2021 | 3 | 14:14 | Offensive | Nick Schmaltz |
| Apr 21, 2021 | 3 | 05:44 | Defensive | Ryan Hartman |
| Apr 21, 2021 | 2 | 01:35 | Defensive | Ryan Hartman |
| Apr 21, 2021 | 1 | 01:20 | Neutral | Nick Schmaltz |
| Apr 19, 2021 | 3 | 02:27 | Offensive | Ryan Hartman |
| Apr 19, 2021 | 1 | 14:28 | Neutral | Ryan Hartman |
| Apr 19, 2021 | 1 | 09:19 | Neutral | Nick Schmaltz |
| Apr 14, 2021 | 3 | 12:05 | Offensive | Nick Schmaltz |
| Apr 14, 2021 | 3 | 11:56 | Defensive | Ryan Hartman |
| Mar 16, 2021 | 3 | 12:40 | Offensive | Ryan Hartman |
| Mar 16, 2021 | 2 | 04:59 | Neutral | Ryan Hartman |
| Mar 16, 2021 | 1 | 01:13 | Offensive | Nick Schmaltz |
| Mar 16, 2021 | 1 | 00:49 | Neutral | Nick Schmaltz |
| Mar 14, 2021 | 3 | 08:50 | Defensive | Ryan Hartman |
| Mar 14, 2021 | 1 | 15:07 | Neutral | Nick Schmaltz |
| Mar 14, 2021 | 1 | 09:01 | Neutral | Ryan Hartman |
| Mar 14, 2021 | 1 | 06:25 | Neutral | Ryan Hartman |
| Mar 12, 2021 | 3 | 05:56 | Offensive | Ryan Hartman |