Scouting Report
Ryan Hartman holds a +6.0% FO% edge overall. Schmaltz wins 38.5% vs right-shot opponents — Hartman shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Schmaltz 42.8% vs Hartman 47.3% (-6.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Schmaltz 68.4%
Defensive zone
Hartman 57.2%
Neutral zone
Schmaltz 55.4%
Result
Nick Schmaltz favored at 55.5%
55.5%
44.5%
Schmaltz
Hartman
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
2
(3 meetings)
1
2
Schmaltz
Hartman
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Schmaltz
1
0
Schmaltz
Hartman
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Hartman
0
1
Schmaltz
Hartman
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Hartman
0
1
Schmaltz
Hartman
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Schmaltz
Hartman
Edge
Even Strength
38.5% (309)
47.1% (649)
-8.6%
Power Play
53.2% (79)
47.1% (68)
+6.1%
Penalty Kill
25.0% (12)
45.2% (73)
-20.2%
On penalty kill, Hartman has a +20.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hartman shoots right. Schmaltz is 38.5% vs right-shot opponents (91).
Schmaltz shoots right. Hartman is 44.0% vs right-shot opponents (182).
Home / Away
Schmaltz
Hartman
Home
38.0% (184)
46.5% (361)
Away
43.5% (216)
47.3% (429)
By Period
Schmaltz
Hartman
P1
40.3%
45.1%
P2
39.9%
44.4%
P3
40.7%
50.9%
OT
70.0%
50.0%
Final 5 min
41.6%
52.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Schmaltz
46.0%▬
45.0%
41.0%
Hartman
54.0%▲
52.0%
47.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 12, 2024 | 1 | 14:21 | Neutral | Ryan Hartman |
| Feb 14, 2024 | 1 | 14:53 | Offensive | Nick Schmaltz |
| Jan 13, 2024 | 1 | 02:42 | Defensive | Ryan Hartman |