Scouting Report
Ryan Hartman holds a +2.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Schmaltz on offensive-zone draws (64% H2H, 14 meetings). Schmaltz wins 45.3% vs right-shot opponents — Hartman shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Schmaltz 42.5% vs Hartman 45.3% (-2.9%)
H2H factor
Schmaltz leads 18-16 in 34 meetings
Offensive zone
Schmaltz 60.8%
Defensive zone
Hartman 77.8%
Neutral zone
Hartman 60.8%
Result
Ryan Hartman favored at 54.9%
45.1%
54.9%
Schmaltz
Hartman
Head-to-Head Record
18
-
16
(34 meetings)
18
16
Schmaltz
Hartman
Last 10: Schmaltz 7-3 Hartman
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Schmaltz
9
5
Schmaltz
Hartman
14 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Hartman
1
5
Schmaltz
Hartman
6 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Schmaltz
8
6
Schmaltz
Hartman
14 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Schmaltz
Hartman
Edge
Even Strength
41.2% (3,399)
45.2% (4,235)
-4.0%
Power Play
47.1% (649)
47.4% (443)
-0.3%
Penalty Kill
47.8% (134)
42.4% (262)
+5.4%
On penalty kill, Schmaltz has a +5.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hartman shoots right. Schmaltz is 45.3% vs right-shot opponents (1,167).
Schmaltz shoots right. Hartman is 47.4% vs right-shot opponents (1,381).
Home / Away
Schmaltz
Hartman
Home
42.7% (2,089)
46.7% (2,589)
Away
41.9% (2,093)
43.6% (2,351)
By Period
Schmaltz
Hartman
P1
41.1%
46.0%
P2
42.9%
42.9%
P3
43.0%
46.8%
OT
42.4%
53.8%
Final 5 min
42.2%
46.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Schmaltz
46.0%▬
45.0%
42.3%
Hartman
54.0%▲
52.0%
45.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 10, 2026 | 3 | 04:14 | Offensive | Nick Schmaltz |
| Mar 10, 2026 | 3 | 04:00 | Offensive | Nick Schmaltz |
| Mar 10, 2026 | 2 | 12:24 | Neutral | Nick Schmaltz |
| Feb 27, 2026 | 2 | 00:42 | Defensive | Nick Schmaltz |
| Feb 27, 2026 | 2 | 00:38 | Offensive | Ryan Hartman |
| Feb 27, 2026 | 1 | 03:49 | Offensive | Nick Schmaltz |
| Feb 27, 2026 | 1 | 00:29 | Offensive | Ryan Hartman |
| Dec 10, 2024 | 1 | 19:31 | Offensive | Nick Schmaltz |
| Mar 12, 2024 | 1 | 14:21 | Neutral | Ryan Hartman |
| Feb 14, 2024 | 1 | 14:53 | Offensive | Nick Schmaltz |
| Jan 13, 2024 | 1 | 02:42 | Defensive | Ryan Hartman |
| Apr 26, 2022 | 3 | 12:42 | Neutral | Nick Schmaltz |
| Apr 21, 2021 | 3 | 19:48 | Neutral | Nick Schmaltz |
| Apr 21, 2021 | 3 | 15:13 | Offensive | Nick Schmaltz |
| Apr 21, 2021 | 3 | 14:14 | Offensive | Nick Schmaltz |
| Apr 21, 2021 | 3 | 05:44 | Defensive | Ryan Hartman |
| Apr 21, 2021 | 2 | 01:35 | Defensive | Ryan Hartman |
| Apr 21, 2021 | 1 | 01:20 | Neutral | Nick Schmaltz |
| Apr 19, 2021 | 3 | 02:27 | Offensive | Ryan Hartman |
| Apr 19, 2021 | 1 | 14:28 | Neutral | Ryan Hartman |