Scouting Report
Ryan McLeod holds a +1.5% FO% edge overall. Look for McLeod on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 6 meetings). Schmaltz wins 41.7% vs left-shot opponents — McLeod shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Schmaltz 46.6% vs McLeod 47.8% (-1.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Schmaltz 85.2%
Defensive zone
McLeod 74.8%
Neutral zone
Schmaltz 59.8%
Result
Ryan McLeod favored at 69.8%
30.2%
69.8%
Schmaltz
McLeod
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
5
(7 meetings)
2
5
Schmaltz
McLeod
Last 7: Schmaltz 2-5 McLeod
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: McLeod
2
4
Schmaltz
McLeod
6 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: McLeod
0
1
Schmaltz
McLeod
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Schmaltz
McLeod
Edge
Even Strength
45.9% (665)
49.2% (796)
-3.3%
Power Play
46.8% (111)
44.8% (87)
+2.0%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (24)
43.3% (263)
+6.7%
On penalty kill, Schmaltz has a +6.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
McLeod shoots left. Schmaltz is 41.7% vs left-shot opponents (559).
Schmaltz shoots right. McLeod is 45.5% vs right-shot opponents (398).
Home / Away
Schmaltz
McLeod
Home
44.7% (409)
49.2% (575)
Away
47.6% (391)
45.9% (571)
By Period
Schmaltz
McLeod
P1
40.3%
52.8%
P2
47.6%
45.1%
P3
51.0%
45.6%
OT
0.0%
35.7%
Final 5 min
40.2%
44.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Schmaltz
46.0%▬
45.0%
46.1%
McLeod
52.0%▬
51.5%
47.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 12, 2025 | 3 | 18:17 | Neutral | Ryan McLeod |
| Nov 12, 2025 | 3 | 09:53 | Defensive | Ryan McLeod |
| Nov 12, 2025 | 2 | 10:04 | Defensive | Nick Schmaltz |
| Nov 12, 2025 | 2 | 09:47 | Defensive | Nick Schmaltz |
| Nov 12, 2025 | 2 | 02:25 | Defensive | Ryan McLeod |
| Nov 4, 2025 | 3 | 05:39 | Defensive | Ryan McLeod |
| Nov 4, 2025 | 2 | 14:59 | Defensive | Ryan McLeod |