Scouting Report
Ryan McLeod holds a +3.1% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Schmaltz 49.4% vs McLeod 52.1% (-3.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Schmaltz 82.5%
Defensive zone
McLeod 82.2%
Neutral zone
McLeod 55.0%
Result
Ryan McLeod favored at 68.6%
31.4%
68.6%
Schmaltz
McLeod
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
1
(2 meetings)
1
1
Schmaltz
McLeod
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Schmaltz
1
0
Schmaltz
McLeod
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: McLeod
0
1
Schmaltz
McLeod
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Schmaltz
McLeod
Edge
Even Strength
48.1% (268)
52.9% (904)
-4.8%
Power Play
50.5% (91)
57.6% (59)
-7.1%
Penalty Kill
58.8% (17)
49.0% (241)
+9.8%
On penalty kill, Schmaltz has a +9.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
McLeod shoots left. Schmaltz is 48.1% vs left-shot opponents (291).
Schmaltz shoots right. McLeod is 51.7% vs right-shot opponents (420).
Home / Away
Schmaltz
McLeod
Home
49.0% (206)
51.8% (612)
Away
49.4% (170)
52.9% (592)
By Period
Schmaltz
McLeod
P1
53.6%
55.4%
P2
46.2%
50.8%
P3
50.4%
51.6%
OT
16.7%
40.0%
Final 5 min
39.6%
51.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Schmaltz
46.0%▬
45.0%
49.2%
McLeod
52.0%▬
51.5%
52.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 20, 2025 | 3 | 19:02 | Defensive | Nick Schmaltz |
| Mar 20, 2025 | 1 | 16:56 | Neutral | Ryan McLeod |