Scouting Report
Ryan McLeod holds a +7.3% FO% edge overall. Look for McLeod on defensive-zone draws (63% H2H, 8 meetings). Schmaltz wins 41.2% vs left-shot opponents — McLeod shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Schmaltz 42.5% vs McLeod 49.6% (-7.3%)
H2H factor
McLeod leads 7-3 in 10 meetings
Offensive zone
Schmaltz 89.2%
Defensive zone
Schmaltz 51.7%
Neutral zone
Schmaltz 72.5%
Result
Nick Schmaltz favored at 55.9%
55.9%
44.1%
Schmaltz
McLeod
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
7
(10 meetings)
3
7
Schmaltz
McLeod
Last 10: Schmaltz 3-7 McLeod
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: McLeod
3
5
Schmaltz
McLeod
8 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: McLeod
0
2
Schmaltz
McLeod
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Schmaltz
McLeod
Edge
Even Strength
41.2% (3,399)
50.4% (3,345)
-9.2%
Power Play
47.1% (649)
51.0% (292)
-3.9%
Penalty Kill
47.8% (134)
44.3% (635)
+3.5%
On even strength, McLeod has a +9.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
McLeod shoots left. Schmaltz is 41.2% vs left-shot opponents (3,015).
Schmaltz shoots right. McLeod is 49.3% vs right-shot opponents (1,490).
Home / Away
Schmaltz
McLeod
Home
42.7% (2,089)
50.2% (2,158)
Away
41.9% (2,093)
48.9% (2,114)
By Period
Schmaltz
McLeod
P1
41.1%
50.8%
P2
42.9%
48.4%
P3
43.0%
50.0%
OT
42.4%
37.1%
Final 5 min
42.2%
48.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Schmaltz
46.0%▬
45.0%
42.3%
McLeod
52.0%▬
51.5%
49.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 12, 2025 | 3 | 18:17 | Neutral | Ryan McLeod |
| Nov 12, 2025 | 3 | 09:53 | Defensive | Ryan McLeod |
| Nov 12, 2025 | 2 | 10:04 | Defensive | Nick Schmaltz |
| Nov 12, 2025 | 2 | 09:47 | Defensive | Nick Schmaltz |
| Nov 12, 2025 | 2 | 02:25 | Defensive | Ryan McLeod |
| Nov 4, 2025 | 3 | 05:39 | Defensive | Ryan McLeod |
| Nov 4, 2025 | 2 | 14:59 | Defensive | Ryan McLeod |
| Mar 20, 2025 | 3 | 19:02 | Defensive | Nick Schmaltz |
| Mar 20, 2025 | 1 | 16:56 | Neutral | Ryan McLeod |
| Apr 12, 2024 | 1 | 11:50 | Defensive | Ryan McLeod |