Scouting Report
Sam Gagner holds a +7.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Schmaltz on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Schmaltz wins 44.3% vs right-shot opponents — Gagner shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Schmaltz 41.2% vs Gagner 48.1% (-7.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Gagner 77.9%
Defensive zone
Gagner 72.4%
Neutral zone
Gagner 78.1%
Result
Sam Gagner favored at 76.9%
23.1%
76.9%
Schmaltz
Gagner
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
1
(5 meetings)
4
1
Schmaltz
Gagner
Last 5: Schmaltz 4-1 Gagner
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Schmaltz
1
0
Schmaltz
Gagner
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Gagner
0
1
Schmaltz
Gagner
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Schmaltz
3
0
Schmaltz
Gagner
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Schmaltz
Gagner
Edge
Even Strength
39.5% (658)
47.3% (395)
-7.8%
Power Play
41.3% (92)
50.0% (62)
-8.7%
Penalty Kill
45.1% (51)
50.0% (4)
-4.9%
On power play, Gagner has a +8.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Gagner shoots right. Schmaltz is 44.3% vs right-shot opponents (273).
Schmaltz shoots right. Gagner is 43.7% vs right-shot opponents (119).
Home / Away
Schmaltz
Gagner
Home
40.8% (424)
49.4% (267)
Away
39.3% (377)
45.4% (194)
By Period
Schmaltz
Gagner
P1
38.4%
47.5%
P2
40.7%
48.5%
P3
41.0%
48.1%
OT
40.0%
0.0%
Final 5 min
42.0%
58.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Schmaltz
46.0%▬
45.0%
40.1%
Gagner
48.0%▲
41.5%
47.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 22, 2018 | 2 | 13:45 | Neutral | Nick Schmaltz |
| Mar 22, 2018 | 2 | 09:47 | Neutral | Nick Schmaltz |
| Dec 28, 2017 | 3 | 05:30 | Neutral | Nick Schmaltz |
| Dec 28, 2017 | 3 | 02:47 | Defensive | Sam Gagner |
| Dec 28, 2017 | 2 | 04:47 | Offensive | Nick Schmaltz |