Scouting Report
Sam Gagner holds a +21.5% FO% edge overall. Schmaltz wins 38.5% vs right-shot opponents — Gagner shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Schmaltz 42.8% vs Gagner 52.4% (-21.5%)
Offensive zone
Schmaltz 54.6%
Defensive zone
Schmaltz 59.7%
Neutral zone
Schmaltz 52.0%
Result
Nick Schmaltz favored at 55.4%
55.4%
44.6%
Schmaltz
Gagner
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Schmaltz
Gagner
Edge
Even Strength
38.5% (309)
76.5% (17)
-38.0%
Power Play
53.2% (79)
28.6% (7)
+24.6%
On even strength, Gagner has a +38.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Gagner shoots right. Schmaltz is 38.5% vs right-shot opponents (91).
Schmaltz shoots right. Gagner is 66.7% vs right-shot opponents (6).
Home / Away
Schmaltz
Gagner
Home
38.0% (184)
75.0% (16)
Away
43.5% (216)
37.5% (8)
By Period
Schmaltz
Gagner
P1
40.3%
25.0%
P2
39.9%
64.3%
P3
40.7%
83.3%
Final 5 min
41.6%
70.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Schmaltz
46.0%▬
45.0%
41.0%
Gagner
48.0%▲
41.5%
62.5%