Scouting Report
Sam Gagner holds a +3.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Schmaltz on neutral-zone draws (83% H2H, 6 meetings). Schmaltz wins 45.3% vs right-shot opponents — Gagner shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Schmaltz 42.5% vs Gagner 46.0% (-3.6%)
H2H factor
Schmaltz leads 8-3 in 11 meetings
Offensive zone
Gagner 60.8%
Defensive zone
Gagner 81.7%
Neutral zone
Gagner 67.8%
Result
Sam Gagner favored at 68.4%
31.6%
68.4%
Schmaltz
Gagner
Head-to-Head Record
8
-
3
(11 meetings)
8
3
Schmaltz
Gagner
Last 10: Schmaltz 7-3 Gagner
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Schmaltz
2
1
Schmaltz
Gagner
3 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Schmaltz
Gagner
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Schmaltz
5
1
Schmaltz
Gagner
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Schmaltz
Gagner
Edge
Even Strength
41.2% (3,399)
45.4% (4,699)
-4.2%
Power Play
47.1% (649)
51.5% (928)
-4.4%
Penalty Kill
47.8% (134)
35.0% (226)
+12.8%
On penalty kill, Schmaltz has a +12.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Gagner shoots right. Schmaltz is 45.3% vs right-shot opponents (1,167).
Schmaltz shoots right. Gagner is 47.2% vs right-shot opponents (1,684).
Home / Away
Schmaltz
Gagner
Home
42.7% (2,089)
48.7% (3,025)
Away
41.9% (2,093)
43.0% (2,843)
By Period
Schmaltz
Gagner
P1
41.1%
44.6%
P2
42.9%
46.1%
P3
43.0%
47.3%
OT
42.4%
42.0%
Final 5 min
42.2%
45.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Schmaltz
46.0%▬
45.0%
42.3%
Gagner
48.0%▲
41.5%
45.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 8, 2022 | 1 | 09:57 | Offensive | Nick Schmaltz |
| Nov 24, 2019 | OT | 02:27 | Neutral | Sam Gagner |
| Nov 24, 2019 | 3 | 13:12 | Neutral | Nick Schmaltz |
| Nov 24, 2019 | 2 | 05:43 | Offensive | Sam Gagner |
| Nov 24, 2019 | 2 | 01:22 | Neutral | Nick Schmaltz |
| Nov 24, 2019 | 1 | 06:31 | Defensive | Nick Schmaltz |
| Mar 22, 2018 | 2 | 13:45 | Neutral | Nick Schmaltz |
| Mar 22, 2018 | 2 | 09:47 | Neutral | Nick Schmaltz |
| Dec 28, 2017 | 3 | 05:30 | Neutral | Nick Schmaltz |
| Dec 28, 2017 | 3 | 02:47 | Defensive | Sam Gagner |
| Dec 28, 2017 | 2 | 04:47 | Offensive | Nick Schmaltz |