Scouting Report
Sam Gagner holds a +1.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Schmaltz on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Schmaltz wins 39.2% vs right-shot opponents — Gagner shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Schmaltz 44.1% vs Gagner 47.0% (-1.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Schmaltz 54.3%
Defensive zone
Gagner 58.2%
Neutral zone
Gagner 59.3%
Result
Sam Gagner favored at 56.3%
43.7%
56.3%
Schmaltz
Gagner
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
2
(5 meetings)
3
2
Schmaltz
Gagner
Last 5: Schmaltz 3-2 Gagner
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Gagner
0
1
Schmaltz
Gagner
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Schmaltz
1
0
Schmaltz
Gagner
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Schmaltz
2
1
Schmaltz
Gagner
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Schmaltz
Gagner
Edge
Even Strength
41.7% (338)
47.7% (86)
-6.0%
Power Play
47.1% (34)
25.0% (16)
+22.1%
On power play, Schmaltz has a +22.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Gagner shoots right. Schmaltz is 39.2% vs right-shot opponents (102).
Schmaltz shoots right. Gagner is 45.9% vs right-shot opponents (37).
Home / Away
Schmaltz
Gagner
Home
48.2% (166)
52.1% (48)
Away
38.1% (210)
37.0% (54)
By Period
Schmaltz
Gagner
P1
42.1%
45.9%
P2
45.8%
52.9%
P3
41.4%
30.0%
OT
22.2%
100.0%
Final 5 min
43.9%
45.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Schmaltz
46.0%▬
45.0%
42.6%
Gagner
48.0%▲
41.5%
44.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 24, 2019 | OT | 02:27 | Neutral | Sam Gagner |
| Nov 24, 2019 | 3 | 13:12 | Neutral | Nick Schmaltz |
| Nov 24, 2019 | 2 | 05:43 | Offensive | Sam Gagner |
| Nov 24, 2019 | 2 | 01:22 | Neutral | Nick Schmaltz |
| Nov 24, 2019 | 1 | 06:31 | Defensive | Nick Schmaltz |