Scouting Report
Sean Couturier holds a +12.5% FO% edge overall. Schmaltz wins 41.7% vs left-shot opponents — Couturier shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Schmaltz 42.8% vs Couturier 53.2% (-12.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Schmaltz 72.3%
Defensive zone
Schmaltz 66.8%
Neutral zone
Schmaltz 71.0%
Result
Nick Schmaltz favored at 71.6%
71.6%
28.4%
Schmaltz
Couturier
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
2
(2 meetings)
0
2
Schmaltz
Couturier
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Couturier
0
1
Schmaltz
Couturier
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Couturier
0
1
Schmaltz
Couturier
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Schmaltz
Couturier
Edge
Even Strength
38.5% (309)
53.8% (1,003)
-15.3%
Power Play
53.2% (79)
56.4% (202)
-3.2%
Penalty Kill
25.0% (12)
42.7% (89)
-17.7%
On penalty kill, Couturier has a +17.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Couturier shoots left. Schmaltz is 41.7% vs left-shot opponents (309).
Schmaltz shoots right. Couturier is 56.1% vs right-shot opponents (471).
Home / Away
Schmaltz
Couturier
Home
38.0% (184)
54.4% (680)
Away
43.5% (216)
52.4% (614)
By Period
Schmaltz
Couturier
P1
40.3%
56.3%
P2
39.9%
51.8%
P3
40.7%
52.2%
OT
70.0%
60.9%
Final 5 min
41.6%
52.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Schmaltz
46.0%▬
45.0%
41.0%
Couturier
52.0%▬
51.0%
53.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 12, 2024 | 1 | 12:23 | Neutral | Sean Couturier |
| Dec 7, 2023 | 1 | 06:56 | Offensive | Sean Couturier |