Scouting Report
Sean Couturier holds a +6.9% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Schmaltz 49.4% vs Couturier 55.6% (-6.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Couturier 58.9%
Defensive zone
Couturier 90.6%
Neutral zone
Couturier 81.1%
Result
Sean Couturier favored at 72.4%
27.6%
72.4%
Schmaltz
Couturier
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
1
(4 meetings)
3
1
Schmaltz
Couturier
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Schmaltz
2
0
Schmaltz
Couturier
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Schmaltz
1
0
Schmaltz
Couturier
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Couturier
0
1
Schmaltz
Couturier
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Schmaltz
Couturier
Edge
Even Strength
48.1% (268)
55.1% (1,008)
-7.0%
Power Play
50.5% (91)
64.1% (142)
-13.6%
Penalty Kill
58.8% (17)
53.3% (45)
+5.5%
On power play, Couturier has a +13.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Couturier shoots left. Schmaltz is 48.1% vs left-shot opponents (291).
Schmaltz shoots right. Couturier is 57.5% vs right-shot opponents (405).
Home / Away
Schmaltz
Couturier
Home
49.0% (206)
58.1% (609)
Away
49.4% (170)
53.9% (586)
By Period
Schmaltz
Couturier
P1
53.6%
55.3%
P2
46.2%
55.8%
P3
50.4%
57.4%
OT
16.7%
45.0%
Final 5 min
39.6%
57.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Schmaltz
46.0%▬
45.0%
49.2%
Couturier
52.0%▬
51.0%
56.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 4, 2025 | 3 | 09:35 | Defensive | Nick Schmaltz |
| Feb 4, 2025 | 2 | 15:57 | Neutral | Sean Couturier |
| Dec 8, 2024 | 1 | 18:52 | Offensive | Nick Schmaltz |
| Dec 8, 2024 | 1 | 11:19 | Offensive | Nick Schmaltz |