Scouting Report
Sean Monahan holds a +10.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Monahan on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Schmaltz wins 43.8% vs left-shot opponents — Monahan shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Schmaltz 44.1% vs Monahan 52.4% (-10.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Schmaltz 65.4%
Defensive zone
Schmaltz 61.3%
Neutral zone
Schmaltz 63.1%
Result
Nick Schmaltz favored at 62.6%
62.6%
37.4%
Schmaltz
Monahan
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
4
(6 meetings)
2
4
Schmaltz
Monahan
Last 6: Schmaltz 2-4 Monahan
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Schmaltz
1
0
Schmaltz
Monahan
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Monahan
1
2
Schmaltz
Monahan
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Monahan
0
2
Schmaltz
Monahan
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Schmaltz
Monahan
Edge
Even Strength
41.7% (338)
52.1% (858)
-10.4%
Power Play
47.1% (34)
55.9% (177)
-8.8%
Penalty Kill
75.0% (4)
33.3% (9)
+41.7%
On penalty kill, Schmaltz has a +41.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Monahan shoots left. Schmaltz is 43.8% vs left-shot opponents (274).
Schmaltz shoots right. Monahan is 51.5% vs right-shot opponents (361).
Home / Away
Schmaltz
Monahan
Home
48.2% (166)
52.6% (504)
Away
38.1% (210)
52.6% (540)
By Period
Schmaltz
Monahan
P1
42.1%
56.7%
P2
45.8%
52.1%
P3
41.4%
48.1%
OT
22.2%
66.7%
Final 5 min
43.9%
56.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Schmaltz
46.0%▬
45.0%
42.6%
Monahan
54.0%▲
52.5%
52.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 6, 2020 | 3 | 19:10 | Neutral | Sean Monahan |
| Mar 6, 2020 | 2 | 11:16 | Defensive | Sean Monahan |
| Mar 6, 2020 | 2 | 11:11 | Offensive | Nick Schmaltz |
| Dec 10, 2019 | 3 | 05:30 | Defensive | Sean Monahan |
| Nov 16, 2019 | 2 | 14:53 | Defensive | Nick Schmaltz |
| Nov 5, 2019 | OT | 00:00 | Neutral | Sean Monahan |