Scouting Report
Sean Monahan holds a +13.9% FO% edge overall. Schmaltz wins 41.7% vs left-shot opponents — Monahan shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Schmaltz 42.8% vs Monahan 54.5% (-13.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Schmaltz 61.9%
Defensive zone
Monahan 54.7%
Neutral zone
Schmaltz 52.1%
Result
Nick Schmaltz favored at 53.1%
53.1%
46.9%
Schmaltz
Monahan
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
2
(3 meetings)
1
2
Schmaltz
Monahan
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Schmaltz
1
0
Schmaltz
Monahan
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Monahan
0
1
Schmaltz
Monahan
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Monahan
0
1
Schmaltz
Monahan
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Schmaltz
Monahan
Edge
Even Strength
38.5% (309)
57.1% (871)
-18.6%
Power Play
53.2% (79)
53.1% (262)
+0.1%
Penalty Kill
25.0% (12)
44.6% (139)
-19.6%
On penalty kill, Monahan has a +19.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Monahan shoots left. Schmaltz is 41.7% vs left-shot opponents (309).
Schmaltz shoots right. Monahan is 53.4% vs right-shot opponents (519).
Home / Away
Schmaltz
Monahan
Home
38.0% (184)
55.3% (644)
Away
43.5% (216)
54.5% (628)
By Period
Schmaltz
Monahan
P1
40.3%
53.9%
P2
39.9%
55.3%
P3
40.7%
54.4%
OT
70.0%
76.5%
Final 5 min
41.6%
55.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Schmaltz
40.0%▼
46.0%
41.0%
Monahan
58.0%▲
53.0%
54.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 2, 2023 | 3 | 11:48 | Defensive | Sean Monahan |
| Nov 2, 2023 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Sean Monahan |
| Nov 2, 2023 | 1 | 09:34 | Offensive | Nick Schmaltz |