Scouting Report
Sean Monahan holds a +6.7% FO% edge overall. Schmaltz wins 42.3% vs left-shot opponents — Monahan shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Schmaltz 47.1% vs Monahan 53.1% (-6.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Result
Sean Monahan favored at 55.9%
44.1%
55.9%
Schmaltz
Monahan
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
2
(2 meetings)
0
2
Schmaltz
Monahan
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Monahan
0
1
Schmaltz
Monahan
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Monahan
0
1
Schmaltz
Monahan
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Schmaltz
Monahan
Edge
Even Strength
46.5% (484)
53.8% (664)
-7.3%
Power Play
47.5% (99)
53.3% (137)
-5.8%
Penalty Kill
46.7% (15)
50.0% (62)
-3.3%
On even strength, Monahan has a +7.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Monahan shoots left. Schmaltz is 42.3% vs left-shot opponents (421).
Schmaltz shoots right. Monahan is 53.8% vs right-shot opponents (301).
Home / Away
Schmaltz
Monahan
Home
45.3% (298)
54.8% (405)
Away
48.0% (300)
52.2% (458)
By Period
Schmaltz
Monahan
P1
40.4%
49.6%
P2
46.8%
53.9%
P3
53.4%
55.2%
OT
0.0%
65.0%
Final 5 min
41.3%
54.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Schmaltz
40.0%▼
46.0%
46.7%
Monahan
58.0%▲
53.0%
53.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 11, 2026 | 2 | 18:31 | Neutral | Sean Monahan |
| Jan 11, 2026 | 2 | 01:40 | Defensive | Sean Monahan |