Scouting Report
Nick Schmaltz holds a +2.5% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Schmaltz 48.4% vs Bozak 46.2% (+2.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Schmaltz 78.8%
Defensive zone
Bozak 73.0%
Neutral zone
Bozak 50.6%
Result
Nick Schmaltz favored at 78.8%
78.8%
21.2%
Schmaltz
Bozak
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
0
(1 meetings)
1
0
Schmaltz
Bozak
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Schmaltz
1
0
Schmaltz
Bozak
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Schmaltz
Bozak
Edge
Even Strength
42.9% (133)
46.7% (338)
-3.8%
Power Play
55.1% (89)
50.0% (6)
+5.1%
Penalty Kill
47.1% (17)
32.6% (43)
+14.5%
On penalty kill, Schmaltz has a +14.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bozak shoots right. Schmaltz is 47.5% vs right-shot opponents (61).
Schmaltz shoots right. Bozak is 51.4% vs right-shot opponents (140).
Home / Away
Schmaltz
Bozak
Home
41.6% (125)
47.9% (194)
Away
54.4% (114)
42.5% (193)
By Period
Schmaltz
Bozak
P1
40.0%
40.2%
P2
59.5%
51.4%
P3
45.0%
43.1%
OT
40.0%
50.0%
Final 5 min
53.2%
43.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Schmaltz
46.0%▬
45.0%
47.7%
Bozak
46.0%▼
48.5%
45.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 18, 2021 | 3 | 12:45 | Offensive | Nick Schmaltz |