Scouting Report
Tyler Bozak holds a +11.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Bozak on defensive-zone draws (73% H2H, 11 meetings). Schmaltz wins 45.3% vs right-shot opponents — Bozak shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Schmaltz 42.5% vs Bozak 53.4% (-11.2%)
H2H factor
Bozak leads 14-10 in 24 meetings
Offensive zone
Schmaltz 76.0%
Defensive zone
Schmaltz 55.8%
Neutral zone
Schmaltz 76.2%
Result
Nick Schmaltz favored at 66.8%
66.8%
33.2%
Schmaltz
Bozak
Head-to-Head Record
10
-
14
(24 meetings)
10
14
Schmaltz
Bozak
Last 10: Schmaltz 4-6 Bozak
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Schmaltz
5
3
Schmaltz
Bozak
8 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Bozak
3
8
Schmaltz
Bozak
11 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Bozak
2
3
Schmaltz
Bozak
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Schmaltz
Bozak
Edge
Even Strength
41.2% (3,399)
53.7% (9,596)
-12.5%
Power Play
47.1% (649)
55.2% (1,990)
-8.1%
Penalty Kill
47.8% (134)
48.0% (1,094)
-0.2%
On even strength, Bozak has a +12.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bozak shoots right. Schmaltz is 45.3% vs right-shot opponents (1,167).
Schmaltz shoots right. Bozak is 56.0% vs right-shot opponents (4,312).
Home / Away
Schmaltz
Bozak
Home
42.7% (2,089)
56.0% (6,333)
Away
41.9% (2,093)
51.0% (6,396)
By Period
Schmaltz
Bozak
P1
41.1%
53.2%
P2
42.9%
52.8%
P3
43.0%
54.5%
OT
42.4%
52.9%
Final 5 min
42.2%
53.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Schmaltz
46.0%▬
45.0%
42.3%
Bozak
46.0%▼
48.5%
53.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 18, 2021 | 3 | 12:45 | Offensive | Nick Schmaltz |
| Apr 17, 2021 | 3 | 08:54 | Neutral | Nick Schmaltz |
| Apr 17, 2021 | 3 | 05:42 | Defensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Apr 17, 2021 | 1 | 14:18 | Defensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Apr 17, 2021 | 1 | 10:43 | Offensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Nov 12, 2019 | 2 | 11:58 | Defensive | Nick Schmaltz |
| Nov 12, 2019 | 2 | 11:52 | Offensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Dec 1, 2018 | 3 | 11:17 | Defensive | Nick Schmaltz |
| Dec 1, 2018 | 1 | 02:21 | Defensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Oct 27, 2018 | 2 | 05:04 | Offensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Oct 27, 2018 | 1 | 15:47 | Offensive | Nick Schmaltz |
| Oct 13, 2018 | 3 | 01:44 | Neutral | Nick Schmaltz |
| Oct 13, 2018 | 2 | 08:46 | Offensive | Nick Schmaltz |
| Oct 13, 2018 | 2 | 05:42 | Defensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Oct 13, 2018 | 2 | 05:17 | Offensive | Nick Schmaltz |
| Oct 6, 2018 | 3 | 18:33 | Neutral | Tyler Bozak |
| Oct 6, 2018 | 1 | 18:30 | Neutral | Tyler Bozak |
| Jan 24, 2018 | 3 | 18:40 | Defensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Jan 24, 2018 | 3 | 16:07 | Offensive | Nick Schmaltz |
| Jan 24, 2018 | 3 | 08:53 | Defensive | Nick Schmaltz |