Scouting Report
Dylan Cozens holds a +1.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Cozens on defensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Cozens wins 44.8% vs right-shot opponents — Suzuki shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Cozens 48.4% vs Suzuki 47.5% (+1.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Suzuki 56.4%
Defensive zone
Suzuki 50.5%
Neutral zone
Suzuki 55.3%
Result
Nick Suzuki favored at 52.7%
47.3%
52.7%
Cozens
Suzuki
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
2
(7 meetings)
5
2
Cozens
Suzuki
Last 7: Cozens 5-2 Suzuki
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Cozens
1
0
Cozens
Suzuki
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Cozens
3
1
Cozens
Suzuki
4 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Cozens
Suzuki
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Cozens
Suzuki
Edge
Even Strength
49.4% (859)
47.0% (1,066)
+2.4%
Power Play
49.5% (186)
49.5% (204)
+0.0%
Penalty Kill
39.5% (129)
46.6% (131)
-7.1%
On penalty kill, Suzuki has a +7.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Suzuki shoots right. Cozens is 44.8% vs right-shot opponents (319).
Cozens shoots right. Suzuki is 48.2% vs right-shot opponents (396).
Home / Away
Cozens
Suzuki
Home
49.0% (600)
49.4% (686)
Away
47.6% (574)
45.3% (715)
By Period
Cozens
Suzuki
P1
46.5%
45.6%
P2
52.9%
46.9%
P3
45.2%
49.8%
OT
53.8%
38.1%
Final 5 min
45.1%
47.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Cozens
48.0%▼
52.5%
48.3%
Suzuki
62.0%▲
55.5%
47.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 27, 2023 | 3 | 15:51 | Defensive | Nick Suzuki |
| Mar 27, 2023 | 2 | 18:53 | Defensive | Dylan Cozens |
| Mar 27, 2023 | 1 | 16:07 | Defensive | Dylan Cozens |
| Mar 27, 2023 | 1 | 04:05 | Defensive | Dylan Cozens |
| Mar 27, 2023 | 1 | 03:49 | Neutral | Nick Suzuki |
| Mar 27, 2023 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Dylan Cozens |
| Oct 27, 2022 | 2 | 04:59 | Offensive | Dylan Cozens |