Scouting Report
Mikko Rantanen holds a +1.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Rantanen on offensive-zone draws (83% H2H, 6 meetings). Rantanen wins 54.3% vs right-shot opponents — Suzuki shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Rantanen 53.2% vs Suzuki 52.4% (+1.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Rantanen 89.1%
Defensive zone
Suzuki 91.4%
Neutral zone
Suzuki 56.8%
Result
Mikko Rantanen favored at 77.6%
77.6%
22.4%
Rantanen
Suzuki
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
2
(7 meetings)
5
2
Rantanen
Suzuki
Last 7: Rantanen 5-2 Suzuki
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Rantanen
5
1
Rantanen
Suzuki
6 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Suzuki
0
1
Rantanen
Suzuki
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Rantanen
Suzuki
Edge
Even Strength
51.7% (346)
51.3% (1,096)
+0.4%
Power Play
58.5% (164)
59.9% (157)
-1.4%
Penalty Kill
0.0% (1)
56.9% (58)
-56.9%
On penalty kill, Suzuki has a +56.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Suzuki shoots right. Rantanen is 54.3% vs right-shot opponents (221).
Rantanen shoots left. Suzuki is 50.3% vs left-shot opponents (961).
Home / Away
Rantanen
Suzuki
Home
55.8% (258)
54.2% (638)
Away
51.8% (253)
51.0% (673)
By Period
Rantanen
Suzuki
P1
50.0%
51.5%
P2
56.6%
53.3%
P3
54.3%
52.4%
OT
71.4%
58.3%
Final 5 min
45.4%
54.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Rantanen
50.0%▼
52.5%
53.8%
Suzuki
62.0%▲
55.5%
52.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 26, 2024 | 3 | 07:17 | Offensive | Mikko Rantanen |
| Mar 26, 2024 | 1 | 02:48 | Offensive | Mikko Rantanen |
| Jan 15, 2024 | 3 | 10:04 | Offensive | Nick Suzuki |
| Jan 15, 2024 | 3 | 02:29 | Offensive | Mikko Rantanen |
| Jan 15, 2024 | 3 | 02:24 | Offensive | Mikko Rantanen |
| Jan 15, 2024 | 2 | 01:35 | Defensive | Nick Suzuki |
| Jan 15, 2024 | 1 | 11:37 | Offensive | Mikko Rantanen |