Scouting Report
Nick Suzuki holds a +3.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Suzuki on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 6 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Suzuki 49.6% vs Backstrom 46.9% (+3.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Suzuki 53.0%
Defensive zone
Suzuki 76.5%
Neutral zone
Suzuki 74.5%
Result
Nick Suzuki favored at 70.6%
70.6%
29.4%
Suzuki
Backstrom
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
3
(8 meetings)
5
3
Suzuki
Backstrom
Last 8: Suzuki 5-3 Backstrom
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Suzuki
Backstrom
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Suzuki
4
2
Suzuki
Backstrom
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Suzuki
Backstrom
Edge
Even Strength
50.3% (1,075)
47.0% (541)
+3.3%
Power Play
49.3% (219)
47.4% (95)
+1.9%
Penalty Kill
43.1% (116)
15.4% (13)
+27.7%
On penalty kill, Suzuki has a +27.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Backstrom shoots left. Suzuki is 48.3% vs left-shot opponents (1,008).
Suzuki shoots right. Backstrom is 41.0% vs right-shot opponents (244).
Home / Away
Suzuki
Backstrom
Home
53.6% (711)
48.5% (328)
Away
45.5% (699)
44.2% (321)
By Period
Suzuki
Backstrom
P1
48.5%
44.8%
P2
51.7%
42.9%
P3
49.0%
50.9%
OT
43.5%
57.1%
Final 5 min
49.0%
47.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Suzuki
62.0%▲
55.5%
49.6%
Backstrom
50.0%▲
48.5%
46.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 16, 2022 | 3 | 04:13 | Offensive | Nicklas Backstrom |
| Apr 16, 2022 | 3 | 01:56 | Defensive | Nick Suzuki |
| Apr 16, 2022 | 1 | 09:47 | Defensive | Nicklas Backstrom |
| Apr 16, 2022 | 1 | 00:16 | Offensive | Nick Suzuki |
| Feb 10, 2022 | 2 | 12:08 | Defensive | Nick Suzuki |
| Feb 10, 2022 | 1 | 06:24 | Defensive | Nick Suzuki |
| Feb 10, 2022 | 1 | 06:10 | Defensive | Nick Suzuki |
| Feb 10, 2022 | 1 | 05:50 | Defensive | Nicklas Backstrom |