Scouting Report
Nicklas Backstrom holds a +3.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Suzuki on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Suzuki wins 47.0% vs left-shot opponents — Backstrom shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Suzuki 47.5% vs Backstrom 50.3% (-3.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Suzuki 54.4%
Defensive zone
Suzuki 51.9%
Neutral zone
Backstrom 60.4%
Result
Nicklas Backstrom favored at 51.8%
48.2%
51.8%
Suzuki
Backstrom
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
1
(6 meetings)
5
1
Suzuki
Backstrom
Last 6: Suzuki 5-1 Backstrom
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Suzuki
1
0
Suzuki
Backstrom
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Suzuki
3
0
Suzuki
Backstrom
3 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Suzuki
Backstrom
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Suzuki
Backstrom
Edge
Even Strength
47.0% (1,066)
51.4% (473)
-4.4%
Power Play
49.5% (204)
39.5% (38)
+10.0%
Penalty Kill
46.6% (131)
33.3% (3)
+13.3%
On penalty kill, Suzuki has a +13.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Backstrom shoots left. Suzuki is 47.0% vs left-shot opponents (1,005).
Suzuki shoots right. Backstrom is 44.8% vs right-shot opponents (172).
Home / Away
Suzuki
Backstrom
Home
49.4% (686)
53.6% (278)
Away
45.3% (715)
46.6% (236)
By Period
Suzuki
Backstrom
P1
45.6%
51.5%
P2
46.9%
56.0%
P3
49.8%
43.5%
OT
38.1%
50.0%
Final 5 min
47.4%
48.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Suzuki
62.0%▲
55.5%
47.3%
Backstrom
50.0%▲
48.5%
50.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 6, 2023 | 3 | 15:47 | Defensive | Nick Suzuki |
| Apr 6, 2023 | 3 | 15:41 | Defensive | Nick Suzuki |
| Apr 6, 2023 | 3 | 14:16 | Defensive | Nick Suzuki |
| Apr 6, 2023 | 3 | 01:20 | Neutral | Nick Suzuki |
| Apr 6, 2023 | 2 | 11:15 | Neutral | Nicklas Backstrom |
| Apr 6, 2023 | 2 | 11:11 | Offensive | Nick Suzuki |