Scouting Report
Patrick Brown holds a +5.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Brown on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Suzuki 47.5% vs Brown 51.9% (-5.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Suzuki 79.1%
Defensive zone
Brown 59.3%
Neutral zone
Suzuki 57.4%
Result
Nick Suzuki favored at 62.7%
62.7%
37.3%
Suzuki
Brown
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
4
(6 meetings)
2
4
Suzuki
Brown
Last 6: Suzuki 2-4 Brown
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Brown
1
2
Suzuki
Brown
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Brown
0
2
Suzuki
Brown
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Suzuki
1
0
Suzuki
Brown
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Suzuki
Brown
Edge
Even Strength
47.0% (1,066)
52.8% (284)
-5.8%
Power Play
49.5% (204)
75.0% (4)
-25.5%
Penalty Kill
46.6% (131)
49.0% (51)
-2.4%
On power play, Brown has a +25.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Brown shoots right. Suzuki is 48.2% vs right-shot opponents (396).
Suzuki shoots right. Brown is 48.0% vs right-shot opponents (102).
Home / Away
Suzuki
Brown
Home
49.4% (686)
53.5% (144)
Away
45.3% (715)
51.8% (195)
By Period
Suzuki
Brown
P1
45.6%
49.0%
P2
46.9%
48.7%
P3
49.8%
58.6%
Final 5 min
47.4%
55.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Suzuki
62.0%▲
55.5%
47.3%
Brown
44.0%▼
48.5%
52.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 24, 2023 | 3 | 05:52 | Offensive | Patrick Brown |
| Feb 24, 2023 | 2 | 18:09 | Neutral | Nick Suzuki |
| Feb 24, 2023 | 2 | 18:02 | Offensive | Patrick Brown |
| Feb 24, 2023 | 2 | 09:39 | Defensive | Patrick Brown |
| Nov 19, 2022 | 3 | 13:21 | Offensive | Nick Suzuki |
| Nov 19, 2022 | 3 | 10:45 | Defensive | Patrick Brown |