Scouting Report
Patrick Brown holds a +5.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Brown on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Suzuki 49.3% vs Brown 54.6% (-5.9%)
H2H factor
Brown leads 6-4 in 10 meetings
Offensive zone
Suzuki 86.6%
Defensive zone
Brown 79.4%
Neutral zone
Suzuki 51.7%
Result
Nick Suzuki favored at 59.8%
59.8%
40.2%
Suzuki
Brown
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
6
(10 meetings)
4
6
Suzuki
Brown
Last 10: Suzuki 4-6 Brown
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Suzuki
3
2
Suzuki
Brown
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Brown
0
3
Suzuki
Brown
3 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Suzuki
Brown
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Suzuki
Brown
Edge
Even Strength
49.4% (6,327)
56.5% (726)
-7.1%
Power Play
50.7% (1,338)
62.5% (8)
-11.8%
Penalty Kill
43.6% (456)
47.8% (136)
-4.2%
On power play, Brown has a +11.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Brown shoots right. Suzuki is 52.0% vs right-shot opponents (2,208).
Suzuki shoots right. Brown is 54.2% vs right-shot opponents (251).
Home / Away
Suzuki
Brown
Home
51.0% (3,997)
57.4% (364)
Away
47.6% (4,124)
53.6% (506)
By Period
Suzuki
Brown
P1
48.8%
51.4%
P2
49.1%
54.6%
P3
50.2%
58.8%
OT
44.4%
50.0%
Final 5 min
49.0%
56.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Suzuki
62.0%▲
55.5%
49.3%
Brown
44.0%▼
48.5%
55.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 24, 2023 | 3 | 05:52 | Offensive | Patrick Brown |
| Feb 24, 2023 | 2 | 18:09 | Neutral | Nick Suzuki |
| Feb 24, 2023 | 2 | 18:02 | Offensive | Patrick Brown |
| Feb 24, 2023 | 2 | 09:39 | Defensive | Patrick Brown |
| Nov 19, 2022 | 3 | 13:21 | Offensive | Nick Suzuki |
| Nov 19, 2022 | 3 | 10:45 | Defensive | Patrick Brown |
| Mar 13, 2022 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Patrick Brown |
| Mar 13, 2022 | 2 | 18:41 | Defensive | Patrick Brown |
| Mar 13, 2022 | 2 | 12:34 | Offensive | Nick Suzuki |
| Mar 13, 2022 | 2 | 01:09 | Offensive | Nick Suzuki |