Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (52.6% vs 53.1%). Look for Thomas on defensive-zone draws (70% H2H, 10 meetings). Suzuki wins 58.9% vs right-shot opponents — Thomas shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Suzuki 52.4% vs Thomas 52.9% (-0.5%)
H2H factor
Thomas leads 13-10 in 23 meetings
Offensive zone
Suzuki 50.9%
Defensive zone
Thomas 62.8%
Neutral zone
Thomas 57.3%
Result
Robert Thomas favored at 57.9%
42.1%
57.9%
Suzuki
Thomas
Head-to-Head Record
10
-
13
(23 meetings)
10
13
Suzuki
Thomas
Last 10: Suzuki 6-4 Thomas
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Suzuki
4
1
Suzuki
Thomas
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Thomas
3
7
Suzuki
Thomas
10 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Thomas
3
5
Suzuki
Thomas
8 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Suzuki
Thomas
Edge
Even Strength
51.3% (1,096)
53.2% (1,166)
-1.9%
Power Play
59.9% (157)
56.9% (262)
+3.0%
Penalty Kill
56.9% (58)
48.4% (221)
+8.5%
On penalty kill, Suzuki has a +8.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Thomas shoots right. Suzuki is 58.9% vs right-shot opponents (350).
Suzuki shoots right. Thomas is 57.5% vs right-shot opponents (487).
Home / Away
Suzuki
Thomas
Home
54.2% (638)
51.6% (830)
Away
51.0% (673)
54.7% (819)
By Period
Suzuki
Thomas
P1
51.5%
52.7%
P2
53.3%
55.6%
P3
52.4%
50.6%
OT
58.3%
61.5%
Final 5 min
54.9%
56.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Suzuki
62.0%▲
55.5%
52.6%
Thomas
42.0%▼
47.0%
53.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 11, 2024 | 3 | 11:40 | Offensive | Nick Suzuki |
| Feb 11, 2024 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Robert Thomas |
| Feb 11, 2024 | 2 | 19:39 | Defensive | Nick Suzuki |
| Feb 11, 2024 | 2 | 16:13 | Defensive | Robert Thomas |
| Feb 11, 2024 | 2 | 08:55 | Offensive | Nick Suzuki |
| Feb 11, 2024 | 2 | 02:03 | Defensive | Robert Thomas |
| Feb 11, 2024 | 1 | 17:59 | Defensive | Nick Suzuki |
| Feb 11, 2024 | 1 | 14:11 | Defensive | Nick Suzuki |
| Feb 11, 2024 | 1 | 00:25 | Neutral | Robert Thomas |
| Nov 4, 2023 | 3 | 09:13 | Offensive | Nick Suzuki |
| Nov 4, 2023 | 3 | 05:53 | Neutral | Robert Thomas |
| Nov 4, 2023 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Nick Suzuki |
| Nov 4, 2023 | 2 | 18:34 | Offensive | Nick Suzuki |
| Nov 4, 2023 | 2 | 14:57 | Neutral | Nick Suzuki |
| Nov 4, 2023 | 2 | 14:48 | Neutral | Nick Suzuki |
| Nov 4, 2023 | 2 | 06:04 | Defensive | Robert Thomas |
| Nov 4, 2023 | 2 | 04:43 | Neutral | Robert Thomas |
| Nov 4, 2023 | 1 | 18:48 | Defensive | Robert Thomas |
| Nov 4, 2023 | 1 | 16:24 | Offensive | Robert Thomas |
| Nov 4, 2023 | 1 | 11:53 | Defensive | Robert Thomas |