Scouting Report
Robert Thomas holds a +3.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Suzuki on offensive-zone draws (60% H2H, 5 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Suzuki 51.5% vs Thomas 54.5% (-3.2%)
H2H factor
Suzuki leads 6-5 in 11 meetings
Offensive zone
Suzuki 57.0%
Defensive zone
Thomas 73.0%
Neutral zone
Thomas 58.4%
Result
Robert Thomas favored at 54.1%
45.9%
54.1%
Suzuki
Thomas
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
5
(11 meetings)
6
5
Suzuki
Thomas
Last 10: Suzuki 6-4 Thomas
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Suzuki
3
2
Suzuki
Thomas
5 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Suzuki
Thomas
2 total
Neutral Zone
Even
2
2
Suzuki
Thomas
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Suzuki
Thomas
Edge
Even Strength
52.4% (981)
55.3% (990)
-2.9%
Power Play
50.7% (304)
54.2% (190)
-3.5%
Penalty Kill
36.4% (33)
52.5% (158)
-16.1%
On penalty kill, Thomas has a +16.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Thomas shoots right. Suzuki is 48.8% vs right-shot opponents (342).
Suzuki shoots right. Thomas is 54.7% vs right-shot opponents (344).
Home / Away
Suzuki
Thomas
Home
53.2% (645)
55.1% (690)
Away
50.1% (673)
54.5% (648)
By Period
Suzuki
Thomas
P1
48.9%
55.5%
P2
51.5%
56.4%
P3
54.9%
51.5%
OT
25.0%
69.0%
Final 5 min
51.4%
54.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Suzuki
62.0%▲
55.5%
51.6%
Thomas
42.0%▼
47.0%
54.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 25, 2025 | 3 | 00:07 | Offensive | Robert Thomas |
| Mar 25, 2025 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Nick Suzuki |
| Mar 25, 2025 | 2 | 12:06 | Offensive | Nick Suzuki |
| Mar 25, 2025 | 2 | 11:59 | Offensive | Nick Suzuki |
| Mar 25, 2025 | 2 | 11:46 | Offensive | Nick Suzuki |
| Mar 25, 2025 | 2 | 06:08 | Defensive | Robert Thomas |
| Mar 25, 2025 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Nick Suzuki |
| Mar 25, 2025 | 1 | 18:07 | Neutral | Robert Thomas |
| Mar 25, 2025 | 1 | 14:33 | Neutral | Robert Thomas |
| Mar 25, 2025 | 1 | 08:00 | Defensive | Nick Suzuki |
| Mar 25, 2025 | 1 | 00:58 | Offensive | Robert Thomas |