Nick Suzuki vs Ryan Nugent-Hopkins
2025-26 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Nick Suzuki holds a +2.2% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Suzuki 50.3% vs Nugent-Hopkins 48.6% (+2.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Suzuki 60.3%
Defensive zone
Nugent-Hopkins 52.1%
Neutral zone
Suzuki 54.4%
Result
Nick Suzuki favored at 53.1%
53.1%
46.9%
Suzuki
Nugent-Hopkins
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
2
(5 meetings)
3
2
Suzuki
Nugent-Hopkins
Last 5: Suzuki 3-2 Nugent-Hopkins
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Suzuki
1
0
Suzuki
Nugent-Hopkins
1 total
Neutral Zone
Even
2
2
Suzuki
Nugent-Hopkins
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Suzuki
Nugent-Hopkins
Edge
Even Strength
51.3% (904)
47.6% (231)
+3.7%
Power Play
49.8% (265)
83.3% (12)
-33.5%
Penalty Kill
36.8% (57)
33.3% (21)
+3.5%
On power play, Nugent-Hopkins has a +33.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Nugent-Hopkins shoots left. Suzuki is 49.4% vs left-shot opponents (921).
Suzuki shoots right. Nugent-Hopkins is 45.8% vs right-shot opponents (96).
Home / Away
Suzuki
Nugent-Hopkins
Home
50.6% (603)
51.2% (164)
Away
50.1% (623)
43.0% (100)
By Period
Suzuki
Nugent-Hopkins
P1
52.3%
50.0%
P2
47.5%
46.2%
P3
51.1%
49.5%
OT
48.6%
0.0%
Final 5 min
48.5%
44.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Suzuki
62.0%▲
55.5%
50.3%
Nugent-Hopkins
58.0%▲
50.0%
48.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 14, 2025 | 3 | 03:22 | Neutral | Nick Suzuki |
| Oct 23, 2025 | 2 | 18:00 | Neutral | Nick Suzuki |
| Oct 23, 2025 | 1 | 07:28 | Neutral | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Oct 23, 2025 | 1 | 00:19 | Defensive | Nick Suzuki |
| Oct 23, 2025 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |