Scouting Report
Nick Suzuki holds a +3.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Suzuki on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Suzuki 49.5% vs Thompson 46.5% (+3.6%)
H2H factor
Suzuki leads 16-8 in 24 meetings
Result
Nick Suzuki favored at 54.8%
54.8%
45.2%
Suzuki
Thompson
Head-to-Head Record
16
-
8
(24 meetings)
16
8
Suzuki
Thompson
Last 10: Suzuki 8-2 Thompson
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Suzuki
4
0
Suzuki
Thompson
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Suzuki
4
2
Suzuki
Thompson
6 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Suzuki
8
6
Suzuki
Thompson
14 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Suzuki
Thompson
Edge
Even Strength
50.5% (701)
46.1% (484)
+4.4%
Power Play
50.0% (212)
48.4% (91)
+1.6%
Penalty Kill
34.5% (55)
30.0% (20)
+4.5%
On penalty kill, Suzuki has a +4.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Thompson shoots right. Suzuki is 52.6% vs right-shot opponents (266).
Suzuki shoots right. Thompson is 53.6% vs right-shot opponents (183).
Home / Away
Suzuki
Thompson
Home
49.6% (486)
47.9% (313)
Away
49.4% (482)
43.6% (282)
By Period
Suzuki
Thompson
P1
51.1%
50.5%
P2
46.0%
44.6%
P3
51.6%
42.3%
OT
44.8%
50.0%
Final 5 min
48.1%
44.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Suzuki
48.0%▼
53.5%
49.5%
Thompson
34.0%▼
41.5%
45.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 31, 2026 | 3 | 17:26 | Defensive | Nick Suzuki |
| Jan 31, 2026 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Nick Suzuki |
| Jan 31, 2026 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Nick Suzuki |
| Jan 22, 2026 | 3 | 12:53 | Offensive | Nick Suzuki |
| Jan 22, 2026 | 3 | 02:54 | Neutral | Nick Suzuki |
| Jan 22, 2026 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Nick Suzuki |
| Jan 22, 2026 | 2 | 10:58 | Defensive | Tage Thompson |
| Jan 22, 2026 | 2 | 05:47 | Defensive | Tage Thompson |
| Jan 22, 2026 | 2 | 05:43 | Offensive | Nick Suzuki |
| Jan 22, 2026 | 2 | 03:44 | Offensive | Nick Suzuki |
| Jan 22, 2026 | 2 | 00:18 | Neutral | Tage Thompson |
| Jan 22, 2026 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Nick Suzuki |
| Jan 22, 2026 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Tage Thompson |
| Jan 15, 2026 | 3 | 05:12 | Neutral | Tage Thompson |
| Jan 15, 2026 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Nick Suzuki |
| Jan 15, 2026 | 2 | 18:07 | Defensive | Nick Suzuki |
| Jan 15, 2026 | 2 | 05:06 | Neutral | Tage Thompson |
| Jan 15, 2026 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Nick Suzuki |
| Jan 15, 2026 | 1 | 18:08 | Neutral | Nick Suzuki |
| Jan 15, 2026 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Tage Thompson |