Scouting Report
Nick Suzuki holds a +4.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Thompson on neutral-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Suzuki 47.5% vs Thompson 43.8% (+4.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Thompson 66.7%
Defensive zone
Thompson 73.3%
Neutral zone
Thompson 73.0%
Result
Tage Thompson favored at 72.3%
27.7%
72.3%
Suzuki
Thompson
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
6
(8 meetings)
2
6
Suzuki
Thompson
Last 8: Suzuki 2-6 Thompson
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Suzuki
1
0
Suzuki
Thompson
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Thompson
0
2
Suzuki
Thompson
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Thompson
1
4
Suzuki
Thompson
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Suzuki
Thompson
Edge
Even Strength
47.0% (1,066)
43.3% (735)
+3.7%
Power Play
49.5% (204)
50.0% (26)
-0.5%
Penalty Kill
46.6% (131)
36.5% (52)
+10.1%
On penalty kill, Suzuki has a +10.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Thompson shoots right. Suzuki is 48.2% vs right-shot opponents (396).
Suzuki shoots right. Thompson is 47.5% vs right-shot opponents (240).
Home / Away
Suzuki
Thompson
Home
49.4% (686)
44.5% (407)
Away
45.3% (715)
41.6% (406)
By Period
Suzuki
Thompson
P1
45.6%
44.4%
P2
46.9%
44.8%
P3
49.8%
40.2%
OT
38.1%
42.9%
Final 5 min
47.4%
38.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Suzuki
62.0%▲
55.5%
47.3%
Thompson
36.0%▼
39.5%
43.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 22, 2022 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Tage Thompson |
| Nov 22, 2022 | 2 | 14:33 | Defensive | Tage Thompson |
| Nov 22, 2022 | 2 | 13:57 | Neutral | Tage Thompson |
| Nov 22, 2022 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Tage Thompson |
| Oct 27, 2022 | 3 | 00:14 | Offensive | Nick Suzuki |
| Oct 27, 2022 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Nick Suzuki |
| Oct 27, 2022 | 2 | 18:09 | Defensive | Tage Thompson |
| Oct 27, 2022 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Tage Thompson |