Scouting Report
Nick Suzuki holds a +5.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Suzuki on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). Suzuki wins 53.1% vs right-shot opponents — Thompson shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Suzuki 50.3% vs Thompson 45.3% (+5.6%)
H2H factor
Suzuki leads 16-8 in 24 meetings
Offensive zone
Suzuki 93.4%
Defensive zone
Suzuki 74.2%
Neutral zone
Suzuki 86.7%
Result
Nick Suzuki favored at 84.7%
84.7%
15.3%
Suzuki
Thompson
Head-to-Head Record
16
-
8
(24 meetings)
16
8
Suzuki
Thompson
Last 10: Suzuki 8-2 Thompson
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Suzuki
4
0
Suzuki
Thompson
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Suzuki
4
2
Suzuki
Thompson
6 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Suzuki
8
6
Suzuki
Thompson
14 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Suzuki
Thompson
Edge
Even Strength
51.3% (904)
44.9% (642)
+6.4%
Power Play
49.8% (265)
47.9% (94)
+1.9%
Penalty Kill
36.8% (57)
33.3% (33)
+3.5%
On even strength, Suzuki has a +6.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Thompson shoots right. Suzuki is 53.1% vs right-shot opponents (305).
Suzuki shoots right. Thompson is 51.4% vs right-shot opponents (220).
Home / Away
Suzuki
Thompson
Home
50.6% (603)
46.0% (391)
Away
50.1% (623)
43.4% (378)
By Period
Suzuki
Thompson
P1
52.3%
48.1%
P2
47.5%
44.9%
P3
51.1%
41.2%
OT
48.6%
42.9%
Final 5 min
48.5%
42.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Suzuki
62.0%▲
55.5%
50.3%
Thompson
36.0%▼
39.5%
44.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 31, 2026 | 3 | 17:26 | Defensive | Nick Suzuki |
| Jan 31, 2026 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Nick Suzuki |
| Jan 31, 2026 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Nick Suzuki |
| Jan 22, 2026 | 3 | 12:53 | Offensive | Nick Suzuki |
| Jan 22, 2026 | 3 | 02:54 | Neutral | Nick Suzuki |
| Jan 22, 2026 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Nick Suzuki |
| Jan 22, 2026 | 2 | 10:58 | Defensive | Tage Thompson |
| Jan 22, 2026 | 2 | 05:47 | Defensive | Tage Thompson |
| Jan 22, 2026 | 2 | 05:43 | Offensive | Nick Suzuki |
| Jan 22, 2026 | 2 | 03:44 | Offensive | Nick Suzuki |
| Jan 22, 2026 | 2 | 00:18 | Neutral | Tage Thompson |
| Jan 22, 2026 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Nick Suzuki |
| Jan 22, 2026 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Tage Thompson |
| Jan 15, 2026 | 3 | 05:12 | Neutral | Tage Thompson |
| Jan 15, 2026 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Nick Suzuki |
| Jan 15, 2026 | 2 | 18:07 | Defensive | Nick Suzuki |
| Jan 15, 2026 | 2 | 05:06 | Neutral | Tage Thompson |
| Jan 15, 2026 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Nick Suzuki |
| Jan 15, 2026 | 1 | 18:08 | Neutral | Nick Suzuki |
| Jan 15, 2026 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Tage Thompson |