Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (50.3% vs 50.3%). Look for Suzuki on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 7 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Suzuki 50.3% vs Ostapchuk 50.2% (+0.0%)
H2H factor
Ostapchuk leads 8-7 in 15 meetings
Offensive zone
Suzuki 71.5%
Defensive zone
Ostapchuk 72.9%
Neutral zone
Ostapchuk 54.7%
Result
Zack Ostapchuk favored at 51.0%
49.0%
51.0%
Suzuki
Ostapchuk
Head-to-Head Record
7
-
8
(15 meetings)
7
8
Suzuki
Ostapchuk
Last 10: Suzuki 4-6 Ostapchuk
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Suzuki
7
0
Suzuki
Ostapchuk
7 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Ostapchuk
0
7
Suzuki
Ostapchuk
7 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Ostapchuk
0
1
Suzuki
Ostapchuk
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Suzuki
Ostapchuk
Edge
Even Strength
51.3% (904)
51.7% (300)
-0.4%
Power Play
49.8% (265)
33.3% (3)
+16.5%
Penalty Kill
36.8% (57)
43.6% (55)
-6.8%
On power play, Suzuki has a +16.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Ostapchuk shoots left. Suzuki is 49.4% vs left-shot opponents (921).
Suzuki shoots right. Ostapchuk is 53.3% vs right-shot opponents (105).
Home / Away
Suzuki
Ostapchuk
Home
50.6% (603)
49.1% (161)
Away
50.1% (623)
51.3% (197)
By Period
Suzuki
Ostapchuk
P1
52.3%
50.0%
P2
47.5%
45.7%
P3
51.1%
55.0%
Final 5 min
48.5%
51.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Suzuki
62.0%▲
55.5%
50.3%
Ostapchuk
44.0%▼
48.5%
50.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 14, 2026 | 3 | 19:33 | Defensive | Zack Ostapchuk |
| Mar 14, 2026 | 3 | 13:39 | Offensive | Nick Suzuki |
| Mar 14, 2026 | 3 | 13:31 | Defensive | Zack Ostapchuk |
| Mar 14, 2026 | 3 | 13:25 | Offensive | Nick Suzuki |
| Mar 14, 2026 | 3 | 03:07 | Defensive | Zack Ostapchuk |
| Mar 14, 2026 | 1 | 19:55 | Neutral | Zack Ostapchuk |
| Mar 14, 2026 | 1 | 19:49 | Offensive | Nick Suzuki |
| Mar 14, 2026 | 1 | 17:57 | Offensive | Nick Suzuki |
| Mar 14, 2026 | 1 | 08:54 | Defensive | Zack Ostapchuk |
| Mar 3, 2026 | 3 | 03:54 | Defensive | Zack Ostapchuk |
| Mar 3, 2026 | 2 | 15:11 | Defensive | Zack Ostapchuk |
| Mar 3, 2026 | 2 | 14:38 | Offensive | Nick Suzuki |
| Mar 3, 2026 | 2 | 07:21 | Offensive | Nick Suzuki |
| Mar 3, 2026 | 2 | 06:55 | Offensive | Nick Suzuki |
| Mar 3, 2026 | 2 | 06:17 | Defensive | Zack Ostapchuk |