Scouting Report
Nick Suzuki holds a +1.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Suzuki on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 7 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Suzuki 49.3% vs Ostapchuk 48.4% (+1.1%)
H2H factor
Ostapchuk leads 8-7 in 15 meetings
Offensive zone
Suzuki 66.2%
Defensive zone
Ostapchuk 71.5%
Neutral zone
Ostapchuk 52.0%
Result
Zack Ostapchuk favored at 52.6%
47.4%
52.6%
Suzuki
Ostapchuk
Head-to-Head Record
7
-
8
(15 meetings)
7
8
Suzuki
Ostapchuk
Last 10: Suzuki 4-6 Ostapchuk
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Suzuki
7
0
Suzuki
Ostapchuk
7 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Ostapchuk
0
7
Suzuki
Ostapchuk
7 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Ostapchuk
0
1
Suzuki
Ostapchuk
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Suzuki
Ostapchuk
Edge
Even Strength
49.4% (6,327)
48.5% (612)
+0.9%
Power Play
50.7% (1,338)
28.6% (7)
+22.1%
Penalty Kill
43.6% (456)
46.8% (62)
-3.2%
On power play, Suzuki has a +22.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Ostapchuk shoots left. Suzuki is 48.3% vs left-shot opponents (5,913).
Suzuki shoots right. Ostapchuk is 49.5% vs right-shot opponents (208).
Home / Away
Suzuki
Ostapchuk
Home
51.0% (3,997)
48.6% (319)
Away
47.6% (4,124)
47.8% (362)
By Period
Suzuki
Ostapchuk
P1
48.8%
48.2%
P2
49.1%
45.8%
P3
50.2%
50.5%
Final 5 min
49.0%
49.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Suzuki
62.0%▲
55.5%
49.3%
Ostapchuk
44.0%▼
48.5%
48.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 14, 2026 | 3 | 19:33 | Defensive | Zack Ostapchuk |
| Mar 14, 2026 | 3 | 13:39 | Offensive | Nick Suzuki |
| Mar 14, 2026 | 3 | 13:31 | Defensive | Zack Ostapchuk |
| Mar 14, 2026 | 3 | 13:25 | Offensive | Nick Suzuki |
| Mar 14, 2026 | 3 | 03:07 | Defensive | Zack Ostapchuk |
| Mar 14, 2026 | 1 | 19:55 | Neutral | Zack Ostapchuk |
| Mar 14, 2026 | 1 | 19:49 | Offensive | Nick Suzuki |
| Mar 14, 2026 | 1 | 17:57 | Offensive | Nick Suzuki |
| Mar 14, 2026 | 1 | 08:54 | Defensive | Zack Ostapchuk |
| Mar 3, 2026 | 3 | 03:54 | Defensive | Zack Ostapchuk |
| Mar 3, 2026 | 2 | 15:11 | Defensive | Zack Ostapchuk |
| Mar 3, 2026 | 2 | 14:38 | Offensive | Nick Suzuki |
| Mar 3, 2026 | 2 | 07:21 | Offensive | Nick Suzuki |
| Mar 3, 2026 | 2 | 06:55 | Offensive | Nick Suzuki |
| Mar 3, 2026 | 2 | 06:17 | Defensive | Zack Ostapchuk |