Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (50.8% vs 51.4%). Look for Backstrom on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lowry 50.8% vs Backstrom 51.3% (-0.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Backstrom 57.8%
Defensive zone
Lowry 77.6%
Neutral zone
Lowry 56.1%
Result
Adam Lowry favored at 53.3%
53.3%
46.7%
Lowry
Backstrom
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
5
(5 meetings)
0
5
Lowry
Backstrom
Last 5: Lowry 0-5 Backstrom
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Backstrom
0
1
Lowry
Backstrom
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Backstrom
0
4
Lowry
Backstrom
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lowry
Backstrom
Edge
Even Strength
51.4% (936)
52.5% (1,108)
-1.1%
Power Play
54.1% (85)
52.4% (164)
+1.7%
Penalty Kill
47.8% (274)
27.9% (61)
+19.9%
On penalty kill, Lowry has a +19.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Backstrom shoots left. Lowry is 50.4% vs left-shot opponents (828).
Lowry shoots left. Backstrom is 52.1% vs left-shot opponents (828).
Home / Away
Lowry
Backstrom
Home
52.9% (680)
52.5% (642)
Away
48.5% (615)
50.4% (691)
By Period
Lowry
Backstrom
P1
51.5%
50.2%
P2
51.5%
51.4%
P3
49.3%
53.0%
OT
60.0%
41.2%
Final 5 min
50.0%
53.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lowry
46.0%▼
54.5%
50.8%
Backstrom
50.0%▲
48.5%
51.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3, 2016 | 3 | 04:50 | Neutral | Nicklas Backstrom |
| Nov 3, 2016 | 3 | 04:44 | Offensive | Nicklas Backstrom |
| Nov 1, 2016 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Nicklas Backstrom |
| Nov 1, 2016 | 2 | 19:45 | Neutral | Nicklas Backstrom |
| Nov 1, 2016 | 2 | 14:24 | Neutral | Nicklas Backstrom |