Auston Matthews vs Nicklas Backstrom
2017-18 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Auston Matthews holds a +3.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Backstrom on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Matthews wins 57.1% vs left-shot opponents — Backstrom shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Matthews 53.9% vs Backstrom 51.1% (+3.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Backstrom 62.6%
Defensive zone
Backstrom 59.4%
Neutral zone
Backstrom 62.6%
Result
Nicklas Backstrom favored at 62.0%
38.0%
62.0%
Matthews
Backstrom
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
4
(6 meetings)
2
4
Matthews
Backstrom
Last 6: Matthews 2-4 Backstrom
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Matthews
2
0
Matthews
Backstrom
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Backstrom
0
1
Matthews
Backstrom
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Backstrom
0
3
Matthews
Backstrom
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Matthews
Backstrom
Edge
Even Strength
54.5% (613)
51.0% (1,104)
+3.5%
Power Play
52.9% (68)
54.5% (178)
-1.6%
Penalty Kill
71.4% (7)
47.2% (89)
+24.2%
On penalty kill, Matthews has a +24.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Backstrom shoots left. Matthews is 57.1% vs left-shot opponents (462).
Matthews shoots left. Backstrom is 50.1% vs left-shot opponents (872).
Home / Away
Matthews
Backstrom
Home
59.8% (351)
52.6% (705)
Away
49.0% (337)
49.7% (666)
By Period
Matthews
Backstrom
P1
58.0%
51.1%
P2
49.6%
51.0%
P3
55.4%
51.4%
OT
83.3%
55.6%
Final 5 min
56.4%
53.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Matthews
70.0%▲
64.0%
54.5%
Backstrom
50.0%▲
48.5%
51.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 25, 2017 | 3 | 18:27 | Offensive | Auston Matthews |
| Nov 25, 2017 | 3 | 03:39 | Offensive | Auston Matthews |
| Oct 17, 2017 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Nicklas Backstrom |
| Oct 17, 2017 | 2 | 06:45 | Neutral | Nicklas Backstrom |
| Oct 17, 2017 | 1 | 16:49 | Defensive | Nicklas Backstrom |
| Oct 17, 2017 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Nicklas Backstrom |