Auston Matthews vs Nicklas Backstrom
2018-19 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Auston Matthews holds a +3.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Matthews on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Matthews 51.9% vs Backstrom 48.7% (+3.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Matthews 81.5%
Defensive zone
Matthews 70.8%
Neutral zone
Matthews 74.6%
Result
Auston Matthews favored at 73.7%
73.7%
26.3%
Matthews
Backstrom
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
1
(5 meetings)
4
1
Matthews
Backstrom
Last 5: Matthews 4-1 Backstrom
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Matthews
1
0
Matthews
Backstrom
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Matthews
2
1
Matthews
Backstrom
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Matthews
1
0
Matthews
Backstrom
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Matthews
Backstrom
Edge
Even Strength
52.4% (892)
48.5% (1,151)
+3.9%
Power Play
45.5% (11)
50.0% (176)
-4.5%
Penalty Kill
37.5% (8)
48.2% (112)
-10.7%
On penalty kill, Backstrom has a +10.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Backstrom shoots left. Matthews is 52.0% vs left-shot opponents (606).
Matthews shoots left. Backstrom is 50.6% vs left-shot opponents (889).
Home / Away
Matthews
Backstrom
Home
54.3% (420)
50.8% (783)
Away
50.3% (491)
46.0% (656)
By Period
Matthews
Backstrom
P1
54.2%
49.3%
P2
54.3%
46.6%
P3
47.8%
50.1%
OT
55.6%
42.9%
Final 5 min
55.8%
51.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Matthews
70.0%▲
64.0%
52.1%
Backstrom
50.0%▲
48.5%
48.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 21, 2019 | 3 | 18:27 | Offensive | Auston Matthews |
| Feb 21, 2019 | 2 | 17:42 | Defensive | Auston Matthews |
| Feb 21, 2019 | 1 | 18:42 | Defensive | Auston Matthews |
| Feb 21, 2019 | 1 | 15:00 | Neutral | Auston Matthews |
| Oct 13, 2018 | 1 | 13:58 | Defensive | Nicklas Backstrom |