Scouting Report
Brian Boyle holds a +2.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Backstrom on offensive-zone draws (83% H2H, 6 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Boyle 52.5% vs Backstrom 50.4% (+2.4%)
H2H factor
Backstrom leads 9-4 in 13 meetings
Offensive zone
Backstrom 84.8%
Defensive zone
Boyle 77.1%
Neutral zone
Backstrom 56.2%
Result
Nicklas Backstrom favored at 59.2%
40.8%
59.2%
Boyle
Backstrom
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
9
(13 meetings)
4
9
Boyle
Backstrom
Last 10: Boyle 4-6 Backstrom
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Backstrom
1
5
Boyle
Backstrom
6 total
Defensive Zone
Even
2
2
Boyle
Backstrom
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Backstrom
1
2
Boyle
Backstrom
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Boyle
Backstrom
Edge
Even Strength
54.2% (354)
49.0% (1,137)
+5.2%
Power Play
76.5% (17)
59.8% (194)
+16.7%
Penalty Kill
48.8% (207)
48.8% (84)
+0.0%
On power play, Boyle has a +16.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Backstrom shoots left. Boyle is 51.2% vs left-shot opponents (381).
Boyle shoots left. Backstrom is 51.2% vs left-shot opponents (927).
Home / Away
Boyle
Backstrom
Home
54.8% (272)
52.9% (735)
Away
51.3% (306)
47.8% (680)
By Period
Boyle
Backstrom
P1
54.4%
51.1%
P2
49.7%
47.2%
P3
54.3%
52.9%
OT
75.0%
53.2%
Final 5 min
53.7%
51.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Boyle
40.0%▼
42.0%
52.9%
Backstrom
50.0%▲
48.5%
50.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 19, 2014 | 1 | 17:49 | Neutral | Nicklas Backstrom |
| Dec 27, 2013 | 2 | 19:31 | Offensive | Nicklas Backstrom |
| Dec 27, 2013 | 1 | 05:09 | Defensive | Brian Boyle |
| Dec 8, 2013 | 3 | 18:19 | Offensive | Brian Boyle |
| Dec 8, 2013 | 3 | 18:07 | Neutral | Brian Boyle |
| Dec 8, 2013 | 2 | 16:21 | Defensive | Brian Boyle |
| Dec 8, 2013 | 1 | 04:54 | Offensive | Nicklas Backstrom |
| Oct 16, 2013 | 3 | 12:45 | Offensive | Nicklas Backstrom |
| Oct 16, 2013 | 3 | 00:51 | Neutral | Nicklas Backstrom |
| Oct 16, 2013 | 2 | 09:49 | Offensive | Nicklas Backstrom |
| Oct 16, 2013 | 2 | 09:46 | Offensive | Nicklas Backstrom |
| Oct 16, 2013 | 2 | 01:06 | Defensive | Nicklas Backstrom |
| Oct 16, 2013 | 1 | 03:20 | Defensive | Nicklas Backstrom |