Mark Kastelic vs Nicklas Backstrom
2021-22 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Mark Kastelic holds a +11.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Backstrom on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Kastelic wins 60.8% vs left-shot opponents — Backstrom shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kastelic 54.5% vs Backstrom 46.9% (+11.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Backstrom 80.9%
Defensive zone
Kastelic 73.9%
Neutral zone
Backstrom 54.2%
Result
Nicklas Backstrom favored at 59.0%
41.0%
59.0%
Kastelic
Backstrom
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
3
(5 meetings)
2
3
Kastelic
Backstrom
Last 5: Kastelic 2-3 Backstrom
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Backstrom
0
3
Kastelic
Backstrom
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Kastelic
2
0
Kastelic
Backstrom
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kastelic
Backstrom
Edge
Even Strength
56.5% (115)
47.0% (541)
+9.5%
Power Play
100.0% (3)
47.4% (95)
+52.6%
Penalty Kill
100.0% (2)
15.4% (13)
+84.6%
On penalty kill, Kastelic has a +84.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Backstrom shoots left. Kastelic is 60.8% vs left-shot opponents (79).
Kastelic shoots right. Backstrom is 41.0% vs right-shot opponents (244).
Home / Away
Kastelic
Backstrom
Home
54.8% (73)
48.5% (328)
Away
63.8% (47)
44.2% (321)
By Period
Kastelic
Backstrom
P1
50.0%
44.8%
P2
62.5%
42.9%
P3
60.0%
50.9%
Final 5 min
47.8%
47.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kastelic
54.0%▼
60.0%
58.3%
Backstrom
50.0%▲
48.5%
46.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 13, 2022 | 3 | 09:54 | Offensive | Nicklas Backstrom |
| Feb 13, 2022 | 3 | 04:05 | Offensive | Nicklas Backstrom |
| Feb 13, 2022 | 2 | 03:11 | Offensive | Nicklas Backstrom |
| Feb 13, 2022 | 1 | 19:49 | Defensive | Mark Kastelic |
| Feb 13, 2022 | 1 | 03:45 | Defensive | Mark Kastelic |