Matt Duchene vs Nicklas Backstrom
2010-11 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Nicklas Backstrom holds a +2.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Duchene on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Duchene 50.4% vs Backstrom 52.3% (-2.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Backstrom 71.5%
Defensive zone
Backstrom 62.1%
Neutral zone
Backstrom 60.3%
Result
Nicklas Backstrom favored at 64.6%
35.4%
64.6%
Duchene
Backstrom
Head-to-Head Record
7
-
2
(9 meetings)
7
2
Duchene
Backstrom
Last 9: Duchene 7-2 Backstrom
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Backstrom
1
2
Duchene
Backstrom
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Duchene
3
0
Duchene
Backstrom
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Duchene
3
0
Duchene
Backstrom
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Duchene
Backstrom
Edge
Even Strength
50.5% (1,070)
52.1% (940)
-1.6%
Power Play
49.3% (136)
51.3% (267)
-2.0%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (20)
55.4% (83)
-5.4%
On penalty kill, Backstrom has a +5.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Backstrom shoots left. Duchene is 49.9% vs left-shot opponents (897).
Duchene shoots left. Backstrom is 53.6% vs left-shot opponents (768).
Home / Away
Duchene
Backstrom
Home
49.8% (633)
53.6% (638)
Away
51.1% (613)
51.4% (677)
By Period
Duchene
Backstrom
P1
51.0%
54.8%
P2
51.5%
50.5%
P3
49.1%
52.0%
OT
36.8%
59.1%
Final 5 min
53.2%
51.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Duchene
44.0%▼
52.0%
50.4%
Backstrom
50.0%▲
48.5%
52.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 11, 2010 | 3 | 19:03 | Defensive | Matt Duchene |
| Dec 11, 2010 | 3 | 16:10 | Defensive | Matt Duchene |
| Dec 11, 2010 | 3 | 11:00 | Offensive | Matt Duchene |
| Dec 11, 2010 | 3 | 10:44 | Offensive | Nicklas Backstrom |
| Dec 11, 2010 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Matt Duchene |
| Dec 11, 2010 | 2 | 12:43 | Defensive | Matt Duchene |
| Dec 11, 2010 | 2 | 04:22 | Offensive | Nicklas Backstrom |
| Dec 11, 2010 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Matt Duchene |
| Dec 11, 2010 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Matt Duchene |