Matt Duchene vs Nicklas Backstrom

2010-11 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report

Nicklas Backstrom holds a +2.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Duchene on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).

Prediction Breakdown
Model XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian) Duchene 50.4% vs Backstrom 52.3% (-2.1%)
H2H factor Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone Backstrom 71.5%
Defensive zone Backstrom 62.1%
Neutral zone Backstrom 60.3%
Result Nicklas Backstrom favored at 64.6%
35.4%
64.6%
Duchene Backstrom
Head-to-Head Record
7 - 2 (9 meetings)
7
2
Duchene Backstrom
Last 9: Duchene 7-2 Backstrom

Zone Breakdown

Offensive Zone
Edge: Backstrom
1
2
Duchene Backstrom
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Duchene
3
0
Duchene Backstrom
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Duchene
3
0
Duchene Backstrom
3 total

Situation Matchup

Situation
Duchene
Backstrom
Edge
Even Strength
50.5% (1,070)
52.1% (940)
-1.6%
Power Play
49.3% (136)
51.3% (267)
-2.0%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (20)
55.4% (83)
-5.4%
On penalty kill, Backstrom has a +5.4% edge.

Handedness & Splits

Handedness
Backstrom shoots left. Duchene is 49.9% vs left-shot opponents (897).
Duchene shoots left. Backstrom is 53.6% vs left-shot opponents (768).
Home / Away
Duchene
Backstrom
Home
49.8% (633)
53.6% (638)
Away
51.1% (613)
51.4% (677)
By Period
Duchene
Backstrom
P1
51.0%
54.8%
P2
51.5%
50.5%
P3
49.1%
52.0%
OT
36.8%
59.1%
Final 5 min
53.2%
51.7%

Recent Form

Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Duchene
44.0%
52.0%
50.4%
Backstrom
50.0%
48.5%
52.5%

Recent Faceoffs

Date Period Time Zone Winner
Dec 11, 2010 3 19:03 Defensive Matt Duchene
Dec 11, 2010 3 16:10 Defensive Matt Duchene
Dec 11, 2010 3 11:00 Offensive Matt Duchene
Dec 11, 2010 3 10:44 Offensive Nicklas Backstrom
Dec 11, 2010 3 00:00 Neutral Matt Duchene
Dec 11, 2010 2 12:43 Defensive Matt Duchene
Dec 11, 2010 2 04:22 Offensive Nicklas Backstrom
Dec 11, 2010 2 00:00 Neutral Matt Duchene
Dec 11, 2010 1 00:00 Neutral Matt Duchene