Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (48.6% vs 48.9%). Look for Zacha on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Backstrom 48.7% vs Zacha 49.0% (-0.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Backstrom 64.1%
Defensive zone
Zacha 59.8%
Neutral zone
Backstrom 52.1%
Result
Nicklas Backstrom favored at 50.1%
50.1%
49.9%
Backstrom
Zacha
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
4
(6 meetings)
2
4
Backstrom
Zacha
Last 6: Backstrom 2-4 Zacha
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Backstrom
1
0
Backstrom
Zacha
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Zacha
0
2
Backstrom
Zacha
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Zacha
1
2
Backstrom
Zacha
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Backstrom
Zacha
Edge
Even Strength
48.5% (1,151)
47.8% (619)
+0.7%
Power Play
50.0% (176)
58.6% (29)
-8.6%
Penalty Kill
48.2% (112)
54.7% (64)
-6.5%
On power play, Zacha has a +8.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Zacha shoots left. Backstrom is 50.6% vs left-shot opponents (889).
Backstrom shoots left. Zacha is 48.3% vs left-shot opponents (499).
Home / Away
Backstrom
Zacha
Home
50.8% (783)
50.8% (394)
Away
46.0% (656)
46.5% (318)
By Period
Backstrom
Zacha
P1
49.3%
48.5%
P2
46.6%
51.2%
P3
50.1%
47.6%
OT
42.9%
16.7%
Final 5 min
51.0%
51.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Backstrom
50.0%▲
48.5%
48.6%
Zacha
46.0%▼
50.5%
48.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 30, 2018 | 3 | 18:30 | Neutral | Pavel Zacha |
| Nov 30, 2018 | 3 | 16:56 | Neutral | Pavel Zacha |
| Nov 30, 2018 | 3 | 10:57 | Neutral | Nicklas Backstrom |
| Nov 30, 2018 | 1 | 15:56 | Defensive | Pavel Zacha |
| Nov 30, 2018 | 1 | 15:35 | Defensive | Pavel Zacha |
| Nov 30, 2018 | 1 | 12:22 | Offensive | Nicklas Backstrom |