Scouting Report
Nicklas Backstrom holds a +5.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Zacha on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). Backstrom wins 53.2% vs left-shot opponents — Zacha shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Backstrom 50.3% vs Zacha 46.5% (+5.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Zacha 75.1%
Defensive zone
Zacha 63.7%
Neutral zone
Zacha 67.4%
Result
Pavel Zacha favored at 70.3%
29.7%
70.3%
Backstrom
Zacha
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
6
(8 meetings)
2
6
Backstrom
Zacha
Last 8: Backstrom 2-6 Zacha
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Zacha
0
4
Backstrom
Zacha
4 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Backstrom
Zacha
2 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Backstrom
Zacha
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Backstrom
Zacha
Edge
Even Strength
51.4% (473)
45.3% (247)
+6.1%
Power Play
39.5% (38)
58.1% (31)
-18.6%
Penalty Kill
33.3% (3)
22.2% (18)
+11.1%
On power play, Zacha has a +18.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Zacha shoots left. Backstrom is 53.2% vs left-shot opponents (342).
Backstrom shoots left. Zacha is 45.4% vs left-shot opponents (205).
Home / Away
Backstrom
Zacha
Home
53.6% (278)
39.7% (131)
Away
46.6% (236)
49.7% (165)
By Period
Backstrom
Zacha
P1
51.5%
42.9%
P2
56.0%
46.4%
P3
43.5%
42.3%
OT
50.0%
87.5%
Final 5 min
48.7%
38.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Backstrom
50.0%▲
48.5%
50.4%
Zacha
48.0%▼
51.0%
45.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 11, 2023 | 3 | 05:21 | Offensive | Pavel Zacha |
| Apr 11, 2023 | 2 | 08:47 | Neutral | Pavel Zacha |
| Apr 11, 2023 | 2 | 05:25 | Neutral | Nicklas Backstrom |
| Apr 11, 2023 | 1 | 11:01 | Offensive | Pavel Zacha |
| Apr 11, 2023 | 1 | 05:51 | Offensive | Pavel Zacha |
| Apr 11, 2023 | 1 | 02:09 | Defensive | Pavel Zacha |
| Feb 11, 2023 | 3 | 00:34 | Offensive | Pavel Zacha |
| Feb 11, 2023 | 1 | 12:16 | Defensive | Nicklas Backstrom |