Scouting Report
Pavel Zacha holds a +3.7% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Backstrom 46.9% vs Zacha 50.1% (-3.7%)
Offensive zone
Backstrom 56.1%
Defensive zone
Zacha 53.3%
Neutral zone
Zacha 50.2%
Result
Nicklas Backstrom favored at 50.9%
50.9%
49.1%
Backstrom
Zacha
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Backstrom
Zacha
Edge
Even Strength
47.0% (541)
48.0% (296)
-1.0%
Power Play
47.4% (95)
61.0% (59)
-13.6%
Penalty Kill
15.4% (13)
50.0% (22)
-34.6%
On penalty kill, Zacha has a +34.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Zacha shoots left. Backstrom is 49.6% vs left-shot opponents (405).
Backstrom shoots left. Zacha is 47.9% vs left-shot opponents (217).
Home / Away
Backstrom
Zacha
Home
48.5% (328)
48.9% (223)
Away
44.2% (321)
51.9% (154)
By Period
Backstrom
Zacha
P1
44.8%
47.9%
P2
42.9%
48.3%
P3
50.9%
54.3%
OT
57.1%
44.4%
Final 5 min
47.1%
47.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Backstrom
50.0%▲
48.5%
46.4%
Zacha
48.0%▼
51.0%
50.1%