Nicklas Backstrom vs Steven Stamkos
2021-22 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Steven Stamkos holds a +4.6% FO% edge overall. Backstrom wins 41.0% vs right-shot opponents — Stamkos shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Backstrom 46.9% vs Stamkos 50.9% (-4.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Backstrom 62.8%
Defensive zone
Stamkos 52.0%
Neutral zone
Backstrom 57.1%
Result
Nicklas Backstrom favored at 55.7%
55.7%
44.3%
Backstrom
Stamkos
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
3
(5 meetings)
2
3
Backstrom
Stamkos
Last 5: Backstrom 2-3 Stamkos
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Backstrom
Stamkos
2 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Backstrom
Stamkos
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Stamkos
0
1
Backstrom
Stamkos
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Backstrom
Stamkos
Edge
Even Strength
47.0% (541)
49.3% (789)
-2.3%
Power Play
47.4% (95)
56.9% (181)
-9.5%
Penalty Kill
15.4% (13)
54.1% (98)
-38.7%
On penalty kill, Stamkos has a +38.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stamkos shoots right. Backstrom is 41.0% vs right-shot opponents (244).
Backstrom shoots left. Stamkos is 52.4% vs left-shot opponents (798).
Home / Away
Backstrom
Stamkos
Home
48.5% (328)
52.0% (512)
Away
44.2% (321)
50.2% (556)
By Period
Backstrom
Stamkos
P1
44.8%
42.1%
P2
42.9%
56.4%
P3
50.9%
53.7%
OT
57.1%
62.5%
Final 5 min
47.1%
51.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Backstrom
50.0%▲
48.5%
46.4%
Stamkos
54.0%▬
55.0%
51.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 6, 2022 | 3 | 01:54 | Defensive | Steven Stamkos |
| Apr 6, 2022 | 3 | 00:13 | Offensive | Nicklas Backstrom |
| Apr 6, 2022 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Steven Stamkos |
| Apr 6, 2022 | 1 | 11:23 | Defensive | Nicklas Backstrom |
| Apr 6, 2022 | 1 | 11:13 | Offensive | Steven Stamkos |